Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wedington | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Autocratic | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Break | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gettinhot’nhere | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thirtyeightcaliber | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Balky | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sporty Flyer | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J C’s in Town | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | M and M’s Custom | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just Plain Mad | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassi Aspen | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gottatakehimto | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | St Basil | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chapel of Dreams | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Priority | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Production | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shot On Windy Hill | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Country Cat Jake | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zippy Toga | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mor Big Lee | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Astrologysprotege | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knight of Honor | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Custom Tat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nugget of Grace | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Michael’s Bad Boy | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Country Cut | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapped Out | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marvins Gold | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Pulpit | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Defender | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flat Rose | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Melody | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fasted | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mariah’s Candy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mean American | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolutely Mindy | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boston Belle | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Win | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Love You More | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ugottago | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Atomic Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paisley Cross | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firstslate | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gee Gee | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Puzzling Priority | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angela’s Celerity | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shades of Truth | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hamazing Lace | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lightning Hart | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Popeyes Heart | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unified Assets | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cabro Toro | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Chief | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seehoss | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Analysis | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Woods N Water | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | R T’s d’Oro | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Star | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ninejuanjuan Call | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blurt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bryken N Mitchell | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | December Seven | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | His Giant | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gentrified | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dried Pepper | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Masterly | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Powershot | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frank the Mayor | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stephen’s Answer | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet Again | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Creekmore | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Beaux Tox | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Charged Temp | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rebecca G | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crafty Princess | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Custom Maiden | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Anotherinthefire | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Who Dat Grey | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kaitlyn’s Court | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elizabeth Renee | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Missgreeley’ssong | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Gifted Talent | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.