Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 20, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 Biondi 6.00 1 2-1
3 2 Ouster 1.20 3.2 6-1
1 8 Silent Running 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Conquist 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Bernardino 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 The Sleepychipmunk 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Valentino’s Here 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Magic Truck 30.00 7.8 15-1
6 5 Heroneandonly 50.00 8.6 16-1
9 10 Joint Resolution 5.00 9.1 17-1
10 11 Today’s Flavor 1.40 SCRATCH
11 12 Refuah 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 American Hustle 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Classic Catch 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Crupi 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Jungfrau 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Narciso Dali 30.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bear’s Correct 50.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Game Change 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Weekend Tizzy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Key Cents S.) – Key Cents S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Stonewall Star 0 0-1
5 5 Stonewall Star 0.60 1 2-1
1 1 Weekend Rags 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Security Code 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Small Pebbles 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Three Unions 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Dream On Cara 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Al’s Rocket 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Inflation Adjusted 10.00 2.4 4-1
12 12 Leo Monte 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Reckless Spirit 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Hilliard 10.00 5 9-1
4 4 Soulmate 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Transactional (GB) 3.50 7.8 15-1
5 5 What a Dude 15.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Son of Liberty 15.00 9 17-1
10 10 Zain Sarinda (IRE) 6.00 9 17-1
8 8 Golden Alchemist 6.00 10.2 19-1
2 2 Liam’s Blue Moon 30.00 12.8 24-1
13 13 Perceived 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Leddy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Royal Poppy 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ana’s Gun 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Lexi’s Spirit 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Modern Love 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Give Me Kisses 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Just North 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Now Showing 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Way too Early 12.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Fancy Azteca 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mozay 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Libretto (IRE) 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Five Prizes 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Expand the Map (IRE) 2.50 6.4 12-1
8 8 Mesaoria 8.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Diamond Status 20.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Belleshazza 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Western Lane 12.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 War Princess 8.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Sister Mac 30.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Chaberton 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Clairarific 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Carats and Cake 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Forever Together S.) – Forever Together S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss Dracarys 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Evvie Jets 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Messidor (IRE) 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Coconut Cake 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Finest Work 4.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lashara (GB) 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Exotic West 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Fluffy Socks 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Por Que No 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 The Met 10.00 1 2-1
3 4 Motion to Strike 8.00 1.2 2-1
10 11 My Last Mission 4.50 SCRATCH
8 9 Breaking Stones 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 10 Brunate 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 8 Ready to March 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 6 Box of Joe 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 2 Exxtop 30.00 8 15-1
1A 3 R Boy Cheekum 30.00 9 17-1
2 1 Storm Shooter 3.50 SCRATCH
4 5 Russian to Win 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Honey Money 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pretty Clever 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Quality Stones 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ruvies in Time 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Happy Sophia 4.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Vallelujah 15.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Funny How 2.50 7.7 15-1
5 5 Shadolamo 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sosua Summer 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Sugar Gray Leonard 10.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 After Five 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 King Angelo 4.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Java Buzz 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Trainer Please 20.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Yarrow 10.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Just Say When 6.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Just Jeremy 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Trust Daddy 30.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Alogon 30.00 9.8 18-1
13 13 Handsome Cat 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Rock the Boat 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.