Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nana’s Gray | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mohaylady | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nostalgia | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Jer’s Joy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Sky | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ain’t She a Pistol | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Undecoded | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Midsummer Soiree | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Ocean | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Like Ice | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Sport Coats | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Rosey | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timely Secret | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proud Performer | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Icy Stare | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Back Beat | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Overly d’Oro | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Wide Awake | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steele Money | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Operator | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Take the Charge | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Beemster | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Peyton’s College | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lollygag | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gin N Sin | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pistolpackinpolly | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bidofhoney | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Red Cloud | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dogwoodsmilliejane | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pacific Grove | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Undercover Lady | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Inventing | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Fashion | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Keen | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Music Street | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Take Care | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Park On the Nile | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Under One Sky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lighter Knot | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Electric Sense | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lexington Diamond | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Taxed | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spunk | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Psychedelic | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Revenue Train | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amber Cascade | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inspector Penny | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kilmorey | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cerchi | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jayla | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sabalenka | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Up to Something | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freydis the Red (FR) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Safeen | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jet Setting | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Southlawn | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chiquita Mosca | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cha Cha Tap | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moriarty | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Peacock Lass | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Angitude | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fire On Time | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Quest | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mischievous Diane | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Altered Shot | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zainalarab | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hazy Command | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flatter Me Silly | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Compelling Smile | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bombdiggity | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Repealing | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rookery | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Edgee Angel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Guana Cay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Backyard Money | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kant Believe It | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Gun Girl | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Comedy Act | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Icy River | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Drama Momma | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rock Star Parking | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Vaccine of Hope | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.