Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 20, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Consternation (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Frazzled 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Shemakescents 15.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Noble Hearted 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Beachgrass 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Ice Queen 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Rock the Bourbon 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Conch Daddy 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Curly Esa 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Shady Star 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Memorandum 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Frost Alert 2.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 U R Pressed 5.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Devil Moon 3.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Bobs Blues Man 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Loyal to a Fault 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Violet Crown 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Carole Lombard 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Smoove as Silk 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Point and Shoot 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Moorea Time 4.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Sweet Hello 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Vacant Seat 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forbidden Kingdom 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Risk and Reward 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Ginobili 2.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Howbeit 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Get Her Number 4.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Nero 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wyfire 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Blame George 30.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Queen’s Code 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Icy Flavor 3.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Uncle George 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 George Herman Ruth 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Swimmingwithsharks 6.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Damazio 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Night Party 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Hot Thoughts 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Time Together 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Gypsy Rosie 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Speaking Spanglish 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rosie Ann Rules 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Wink Wish and Park 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Girl Named Doris 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mendham Mill 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Reinecke 10.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Phenom 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Baby Steps 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Annie’s Song (IRE) 10.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ready Jet Go 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Woodbine Way 4.00 4 7-1
5 5 Shoppingforpharoah 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Manorelli 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Tom’s Beauty 4.00 7.8 15-1
14 14 Storming Lady 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Respectfully 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Briefcase Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Topolina 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bob Hope S.) – Bob Hope S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Havnameltdown 1.20 1 2-1
7 6 Newgate 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Hard to Figure 3.00 2.9 6-1
6 5 Practical Move 5.00 4 8-1
5 4 Mixto 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 98 Giver Not a Taker 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lloyds Logic 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mighty Matt 15.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fireman Dan 10.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Stayin’ Out Late 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Hoop Dream 6.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Constant Conflict 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Maynard 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Egomania 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Socal Red 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 State of the Union 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Fifty Cent Dollars 10.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Sippin N Kissin 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.