Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 21, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Peyton Elizabeth 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 No More Mask 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mit Mazel 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Behind the Couch 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Peace Out 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Twelveo’clockrock 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 My Boss Lady 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 B West 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Alvy 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 California Ghost 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Here’s Liam 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Arrogant Rider 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Inspired Irish 30.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Gaming Soul 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Energy Efficient 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Raise a Speights 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Spy 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Amicalola Falls 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Spring the Beast 20.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Axxerator 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Appraisal 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Smarty John 4.50 5.8 11-1
8 8 Sweet Asta 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Highland Dream 6.00 7.7 14-1
6 6 Chauffeur 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Midnight Tequila 12.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Beau Brown 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bode’s Heritage 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Blonde Samaritan 10.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 One Clear Moment 12.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Waverley 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Jackie’s Quest 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Dunder Boss 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Wicked Kitten 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Thencomemorning 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Grass Cutter 30.00 7 13-1
6 6 Fearless Mae 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pharaoh’s Triumph 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Critical Threat 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Magic Mule 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Manolito 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Tauber 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Aliferous 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Tenax 30.00 6 11-1
11 11 Sea Ghost 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Treasure Tradition 3.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Chocolate Shake 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Wicked Mad 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 One America 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 At the Gate 4.50 1 2-1
11 11 Chasing Artemis 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Tilted Tiara 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Fire At Midnight 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Performanceanxiety 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Robs Dream 10.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Unbridled Irish 8.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Little Four 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Toussaud’s Ransom 8.00 9.2 17-1
5 5 Just Once More 10.00 10.8 20-1
3 3 Queen of the Cats 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Air Token 5.00 1 2-1
3 2 Threes Over Deuces 2.50 3.3 6-1
2 1 Karan’s Notion 3.50 3.7 7-1
6 7 Wendell Fong 6.00 4.3 8-1
1A 5 Going to the Lead 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 6 Nuclear Option 5.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Kadri 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Whiskey and You 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Imagine It All 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Grand Manner 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 He Rolls 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Sloe Gin Biz 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Jebster 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Rennie 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Moses Water 15.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.