Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Montauk Daddy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alfie Solomons | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Retaliated | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Higher Authority | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guard | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Have a Plan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Let Me Love You | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cambiaso | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grimes | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Idratherbeblessed | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | O Gangster | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Day Trade | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gabe | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rio Moon | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Don’t Let Go | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Plenty of Time | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Invasive | 20.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roundball Rock | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Pace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Augustus Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Inspeightoftrainer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bayshore Foxes | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Club | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donya Know It | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Domitia Lucilla | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Save Grace | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ball Gown | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alsanah | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mint | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tap the Candy | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Medication | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosted Diamond | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madison Luvs Duke | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Close Knit | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Favorite Uncle | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Liam the Brave | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alfio | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nimrods | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vale | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Guided Arrow | 5.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Seven and Seven | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Uncle Berley | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Thunder | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King’s Ovation | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carmichael | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leblon | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Test Pilot | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tuanis | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Hush This | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Insolito | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bet He’s Ready | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cyclone | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Far From Final | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stand for Freedom | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock With You | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Creed | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dog Red | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baby Got Backspin | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Toast | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | High Class | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mighty Madison | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mally’s Monsoon | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Varsity Blonde | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exhibit Hall | 6.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tango Zulu | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Effortlesslyelgant | 10.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss J D | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Neutralize | 15.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | In Color | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | D’oro Street | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ruthless Rua | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sure Can | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boardwalk Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Summer Splash | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roderick | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Payne | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runway Magic | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tonal Impact | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Emerald Express | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sonneman | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | River Redemption | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | He’smyhoneybadger | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marsalis | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surfer Dude | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Verb | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Embrace | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wayakin | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gallant Guy | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coastal Defense | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Broken Rib | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Koufax | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Giroovin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Harold’s Cloud | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Own the Field | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time the Market | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hunter’s Drive | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slamming It | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mogul Crack | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Booster Shot | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fujin | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shortly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Schoolmaster (GER) | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.