Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Everyotherwon | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Funnybet | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ancient Brown | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aidanike | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin Royal | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Tourista | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Especially You | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodbetterbest | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Tribal Spirit | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodbetterbest | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Right Now | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Free Spirited | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simpering Smile | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Envoy | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frosty Diva | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sure Enough | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Royal Dame | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Xtrasaucewelldone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bluegrass Parkway | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Huge Bigly | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Dust | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bandit Swanson | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Charge | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Max Express | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Emi | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Drive for Fun | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carbonite | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Rainbows | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Centurion | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miacomet | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | French Composer | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Norther | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Boardwalk Queen | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ruthless Rua | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sure Can | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Fairytale | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Badgeland | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’oro Street | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Tap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Super Spirit | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Markswoman | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Sister Sue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Itdowhatitdo | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delightof the Nile | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vow | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Story Hour | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Burnt Match | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Tango | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bow to None | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Upstriker | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brawndo | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cold as Hell | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stonevicious | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flags Up | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Money Mike | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olliemeister | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Label | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Boss | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Misty Veil | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Illiogami | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tap Dancing Lady | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Princess of Cairo | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Microcap | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Powder River | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Temper Time | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jag Warrior | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dorothea | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Frosted | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Invulnerable | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Dakota Run | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Speakinofthedevil | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Brazen Boy | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aerator | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Commerce Comet | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hardmoneymuchachos | 15.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Onasa | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cravensworth | 6.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Invulnerable | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Reg | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stuck N Snow | 12.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stray Cat | 15.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Winger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Not So Holy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Track Shot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Falls City S.) – Falls City S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moon Swag | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Played Hard | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leader of the Band | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Swag | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s All Wolfe | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ava’s Grace | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bellamore | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Cardinal S.) – Cardinal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dalika (GER) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flippant | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adventuring | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pass the Plate | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curly Ruth | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Lucerne | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sunny One | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disappearing Act | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perseverancia | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wave of Goodness | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eyes of Gold | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Gal | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ring Twice | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Statement | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tituba | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Icicles | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gray Vixen | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Perfect Rose | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady With a Cause | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mor Happy Hours | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.