Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counterfeit | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Arctic Rose | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Argybargy Buck | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jenny’s Halo | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Three Ks | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Counterfeit | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ciroc O Clock | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Band Boss | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oncoming | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Sermononthemount | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Green Mo’ster | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cap Rock Miner | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Stove League | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mishko | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | East Lex | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Woman With a Book | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Relic Hunter | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go Brother Go | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Boo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Woadie | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Basti Blue | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Renati | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Heatseeker | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Four | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Seductive U S A | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Dust Em | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Freedom Factor | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Burning Bright | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uninvited Guest | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Treasury | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Rising Empire | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Job Security | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jack a Rose | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Runaway Harry | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | New Year Surprise | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beachcombing | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sunday Breeze | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commander Scott | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | And Fifty | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runninginthemoney | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Credo | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Its Wild Again | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Autumns Strong Man | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tambourine Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Scoring Drive | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notion | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Running Late | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notion | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Motown Missile | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meant to Be Lucky | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gem Collection | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bernucci | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizzy Tantrum | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Custom Bobby’s | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apache Tears | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gold Punch | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Palace | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duvee | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eddie’s Humor | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | George Allen | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coffee County | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Custom Blue Grass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Helaire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Thanksgiving Classic S.) – Thanksgiving Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Long Weekend | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surveillance | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Rhythm | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chattalot | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready to Pounce | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carribean Caper | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simply Wicked | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Schnell | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hooray Austin | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wise Anchor | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pickens | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Izzy’s Baby Boy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zion | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | G’wildcat | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Win Ya Win | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fiery Playboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Grunt | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.