Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 25, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maria From Miami 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Juniper’s Moon 2.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Aniston 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Welcometomyworld 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Kayleigh’s Pride 4.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Gifted 4.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Indyan Penny 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tekila 0 0-1
2 2 Mostly Harmless 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tekila 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Goodmorning Angel 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Lordhearmyprayer 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Ricelle 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Candlestick Maker 3.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Lacey Underall 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spiked 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cupid’s Heart 0.60 1 2-1
2 2 Wasp 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Suspended Campaign 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Vienna Code 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Spooky Road 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Notebook S.) – Notebook S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 D’ont Lose Cruz 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Acoustic Ave 1.40 1.1 2-1
1 1 Starquist 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Mshindi 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Flashy Alex 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 General Banker 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 In Dreams 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Stage Left 4.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Big Engine 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Secret Rules 8.00 2 4-1
1A 9 Kadri 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Cash Now 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Outlaw Kid 2.50 6.9 13-1
1 2 Jalen Journey 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Coppola 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Long Island S.) – Long Island S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Temple City Terror 0 0-1
2 2 Temple City Terror 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Capital Structure (GB) 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Tic Tic Tic Boom 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Kalifornia Queen (GER) 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Rocky Sky (IRE) 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Big Time Lady 50.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Comely S.) – Comely S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Nostalgic 0 0-1
4 4 Kathleen O. 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Falconet 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Morning Matcha 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Tizzy in the Sky 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Nostalgic 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Skratch Kat 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Sixtythreecaliber 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Pistol Liz Ablazen 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Voodoo Zip 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Gear Jockey 4.50 1.2 2-1
12 12 Dancing Buck 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Anaconda 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Scuttlebuzz 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Chewing Gum 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Thin White Duke 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Yes and Yes 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Nothing Better 12.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Run Curtis Run 8.00 6.3 12-1
16 16 Greeley and Ben 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Happy Farm 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Bad Beat Brian 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Jaxon Traveler 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Nathan Detroit 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Prime Factor 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Strong Light 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 North Pole 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Papi On Ice 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sharpoon 30.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Lookin Grand 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Whisky Warrior 4.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 Phoebe’s Frosty 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Grand Again 30.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Tiger Town Boy 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Uncle Bruce 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.