Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 25, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fulminate 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 R Girl’s Werth It 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Redstwirlingdancer 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 O’Neill’s Legacy 15.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Invincibella (GB) 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Blushing (FR) 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Flat Out Joy 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Doinitthehardway 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Ice Dancing 0.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Monique 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Divinely Bolt 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Moonlit Mischief 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Carmel by the Sea 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Naismith 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Piroli 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 The Key Is Unity 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Mitad Del Mundo 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Lil Bro Coop 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Omerta Code 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Ivory Sky 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Mastermind 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stay in the Game 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 King Zog 1.80 3.4 6-1
1 1 Black Magician 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Chicknfingerfriday 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Krixus Flash 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Reef City 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Glass Beach 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Stormy Joe 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Carmen Miranda 3.00 1 2-1
10 9 Nice Ice 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Flying to the Line 15.00 5 10-1
11 10 Sunshine Babe 20.00 5.9 11-1
14 11 Busker Allie 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Don’t Ju Forget 4.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Avery Blue 5.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Soul Sweet 30.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 La Deuxieme Etoile 5.00 8.1 15-1
7 6 Starship Sky 20.00 8.3 16-1
5 4 True Patriot 5.00 8.3 16-1
13 98 Loud Loud Music 0.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Dendera 0.00 SCRATCH
4 98 Exactly Wendy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Arkaan 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Holden the Lute 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Breakfast Ride 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Dr Pescado 20.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Hero Status 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 It’s My House 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Mr. Impossible 6.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Order and Law 12.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Figureti (CHI) 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Hollywood Turf Cup S.) – Hollywood Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Avenue 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Go On 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Prince Abama (IRE) 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Dean Martini 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Cash Equity (FR) 3.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 The Grey Wizard (IRE) 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reincarnate 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Mr Fisk 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Odonata 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Riverside 4.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Omnipresent 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Eastbound 3.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Clooney 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Telos 50.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Roll On Big Joe 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tiergarten 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ruby Ray 4.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Buy American 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Above Suspicion 2.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Natalia 15.00 4 7-1
2 2 A Crown for Kitten 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Vulin 20.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Jerusalema (IRE) 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Saddle Up Jessie 8.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Tiz My Princess 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Bossy Pegasus 50.00 10.2 19-1
14 13 Heaven’s Ghost 30.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Comptons House 15.00 SCRATCH
12 98 Signorina Merisi (GB) 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.