Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 25, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Awesome Cajun 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bay Be Gone 4.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Noise Complaint 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Strictly Confident 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Little Rocky 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Uxmal 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 My Story 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Cool Spirit 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sucre 1.60 1 2-1
5 6 G’s Deadline 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 3 Aphrodites Revenge 4.50 4.5 8-1
4 5 Be a Bandit 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 7 Cajun Shots 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 8 Pretty Production 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 4 Blue Ridge Heat 12.00 6.6 12-1
1A 2 Silver Siren 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Little Puck 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Willie the Man 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Louisiana Flash 2.50 2.9 6-1
10 10 King of Contraband 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Heza Sexy Zong 15.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Styling Hook 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Bettabe Bourbon 3.50 5.8 11-1
7 7 Field of Vision 12.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Flower Cat 15.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Kilo Key 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dats a Superstar 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sue Happy 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Angel and Me 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Retro Rita 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 I Got Wings 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Bell Pepper 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Atlantic Band 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Indefensible 2.50 1 2-1
4 3 Policy Limit 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Bottomless 3.50 5 9-1
9 9 Witch’s Vow 15.00 5.5 10-1
1 6 Out Making Treble 5.00 6.3 12-1
1A 10 Fiftyfive Strong 5.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Confess 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Lower Cretaceous 6.00 6.8 13-1
2 1 Proudtown 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 5 C. F. Congress 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Moro Mafia 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Samsplayerslounge 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Legal Eagle 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Pink Higgins 10.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Clearly a Jet 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Let’s Go Romeo 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Astrology Wonowon 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Sommelier 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fancy Paynter 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Conative 0 0-1
7 6 Guitarzan 8.00 1 2-1
2 1 That’s D ‘cat 8.00 1.2 2-1
1A 10 Tough Company 3.50 2 4-1
5 4 Five O One 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 3 Corvette Spirit 15.00 3 6-1
1 9 Conative 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 2 Easter Snap 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Humphrey 10.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Pinch Assault 2.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Dream Halo 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Wicked Rose 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Papiringo 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Holiday Diamond 5.00 6 11-1
5 5 Theo d’Or 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Heza Pickle 5.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Lucky Moon Dog 15.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Cheerfor Mshawish 12.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Cabochon Treasure 20.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Peanut N Ike 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Lucas Zip It 12.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Jamaican Me 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bryken N Mitchell 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Souvenir Channel 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Sloopy Hang On 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Chatain’s Eagle 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Seemyvalentine 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Tap Your Front 4.50 5.8 11-1
1 1 Ms. Priestly 4.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Cabeza de Tortuga 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Korat Queen 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Union Grad 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.