Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 25, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Inthealy 2.50 1 2-1
2 1 Half a Doodle 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Juju Nineteen 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Heartthrob Halo 8.00 4.3 8-1
1A 8 Spry Charlie 3.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Rock Star Alex 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Magnolia Ridge 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 2 Stealing Apriority 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Candy’s Pride 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 The Missing Piece 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Resposado 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Beautifulandwild 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Enough Heart 8.00 5 10-1
5 5 Star’s Dream 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Allstar Magic 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 F T W Slam 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cajun Crazy 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Geaux Sugar 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Allnight Moonlight 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Buck Doll Taylor 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Up N Gone 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Mysterious Spirit 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Keys Included 4.50 1 2-1
1A 3 Blurt 2.50 2 4-1
8 9 Pleasant Vision 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 7 I Like Dreaming 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 8 Exclaim 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Semi Charmed Life 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 6 Mosh Pit 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 4 Masquerade Ball 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Western Star 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Implosion 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Elle of the Ball 4.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Mischevious Mel 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Purrfect 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Chaton Rouge 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Rumpus 6.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Livy B 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lijana 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Jubilee Bridge 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sign of Peace 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Boss’ Dialin In 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Supremely 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Rumble Ready 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Charlemagne 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Charlie’s Creed 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Kislovodsk 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Blessed Anna 4.00 1 2-1
1 5 Money Well Spent 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 3 Strummer 6.00 1.2 2-1
1A 6 Spellbinding 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 9 Heart That Binds 6.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Serape 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 Sky High Susan 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 7 Explosively Hot 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Mi Lia 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Isn’t It Time 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Easy Aces 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Just Another Win 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Bad Gal Riri 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Both Ours 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Jig Time Bandit 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Hot Patootie 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Bonus Round 20.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Sweet Vidalia 2.50 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.