Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | O Shaughesey | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alas and Alack | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Tell Deren | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Modelo Rubia | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Need a Marker | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fine Aleigh | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Laramore | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancee Grace C | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Mine | 1.40 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liquidator | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angelofcanterbury | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ride the Rapids | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bodacious Bren | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon On the Bay | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Charge Too | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Front Dancer | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glastonbury | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here and Nofurther | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Supreme Law | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Freegftwthpurchase | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shoot Themessenger | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlington | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honor the Fleet | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Other Things Equal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sicilia Mike | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Itsknownasthebern | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pressing Concern | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Red Wine Time | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Earley Rose | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Torre Branca | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Musical Cat | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shaolin | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Sensation | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gogo Chanel | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lottaclass Lilsass | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Gypsy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Speak Unity | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Frontier | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Branco Maria | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shady Munni | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Terre | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Down Cold | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Mio | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Burgee | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jasontakeslong | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Calloway Peak | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Award Nominated | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Howard And Sondra Bender Memorial S.) – Howard And Sondra Bender Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Monday Morning Qb | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alwaysinahurry | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tappin Cat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Going to the Lead | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One Ten | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Antipoison | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Twisted Ride | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Politely S.) – Politely S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fille d’Esprit | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paisley Singing | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Juror Number Four | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hollywood Walk | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Targe | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Sheba | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tres Maria’s Dream | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Itsy Bitsy Izzie | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luv U Mary Jane | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Spirit | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Icestorming | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meet Me At Sunset | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruxton Rocks | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.