Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 25, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grand Gizmo 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Belentime 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Pot Committed 4.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Snookered 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Unbridled Inferno 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ngabe 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Settebello 8.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Breach of Trust 10.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Midnight Saint 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Burning Man 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Coleyville 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Dani’s Victory 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Veloce 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Sailor’s Passion 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Jegos Fire 20.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Giant Critic 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lion Kingdom 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Trinity Gold 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fielder 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Forester’s Turn 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Ghoul (BRZ) 2.50 4.5 9-1
5 5 Celebratory 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Ocelot 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Dilettante 3.50 6.7 13-1
8 8 Checkerboard Floor 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Marten River 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lapochka 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Rocket Joe Copper 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Native Prince 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Timeskip 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Reliability 15.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 Hyperfocus 5.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Solar 6.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Selfmade 4.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Gendragon 20.00 9.8 19-1
3 3 Derzkii 10.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Society Joe 20.00 10.9 21-1
5 5 Seguimi 12.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Glenholme 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Coherence 15.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Wickedblackbullet 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Rock Bullet 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Three Sonny Sideup 1.40 7.7 15-1
2 2 Morstachy’s 3.50 7.8 15-1
7 7 Passionplate 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Domi 5.00 8 15-1
6 6 Twixter 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sammy Stone 0 0-1
3 3 Greystone 3.50 1 2-1
12 12 Fighting Irish 8.00 2.6 5-1
13 13 Sammy Stone 2.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Whitewalker 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Magic Tomahawk 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Vincenzino 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Curlin’s Ghost 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Calusa Donnie 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Two Rivers Over 5.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Armaline 10.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Uncaptured Moment 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Chamber Music 20.00 10.7 20-1
6 6 King Elvis 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Go Take Charge 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Magnificent Mario 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Guard of Honour 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Bill Needle 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Ralphie Boy 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 Indy Champagne 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Rebel Faith 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Sovereign Cause 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Golden Burn 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Full Extreme 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Sir Sahib 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Grandson 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Steak and Cheese 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Mad Mocha 3.50 6.6 13-1
8 8 Malibu Uproar 3.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Bringer of Rain 6.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Canadian Pharoah 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Be Like Clint 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Hidden Honor 3.00 5 9-1
5 5 Silver Smoke 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Jimmies Big Day 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Reload’s Rascal 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Souper Rush 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Heat Merchant 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Light the Lamp 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 High Heat 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Biz 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Beyond Borders 2.50 4 8-1
3 3 Big League 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Duke of Miami 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Thelonious 20.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Crumlin Experience 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Abstemious 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Radcliffe 10.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Majestic Melody 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.