Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 26, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Bernt Again 4.00 1 2-1
7 8 Deniece of Degrace 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 9 Amanda’s Folly 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 10 Darknstormy 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Britney Is Free 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Luna Loca 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 6 Silex 10.00 6.9 13-1
1 4 Striking Melody 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 5 Our Rosie Diamonds 10.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Caribbean Breeze 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Patient Capital 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Relate 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Holey Matrimony 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Royal Tryst 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 F F Rocket 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Breadman 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Sell Something 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Juxtapose 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Customerexperience 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Hydra 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Baba 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Sweet Mia 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Mon Petit Chou 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 She’s a Black Belt 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Happy Sophia 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Life Changer 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Reggae Music Man 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Catchyasoon 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Luni Sima 5.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Up to the Mark 1.60 5.6 11-1
5 5 Mandatory 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Central Park S.) – Central Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dandy Handyman 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Let’s Go Big Blue 4.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Noble Huntsman 10.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 General Jim 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Bat Flip 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Calycanthus 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Liar’s Poker 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Ramblin’ Wreck 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Dr. Settle’s Dream 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Sweetlou’sgotaces 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Victory Built 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Breaking Stones 2.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Agility 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sandrone 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Constant Knight 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Giramonte 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Athenry 6.00 7 13-1
5 5 Got the Gold 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Duckphat 0 0-1
1 1 Bavarian Creme 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Duckphat 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Oak Loves a Fight 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Photon 1.60 6.6 13-1
2 2 She’s a Natural 30.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Lem Me Drink 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Menily 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Yogi 10.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Summer Takeover 5.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Dream Road 20.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Succulent 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Fall Highweight H.) – Fall Highweight H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jaxon Traveler 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Greeley and Ben 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Runninsonofagun 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Happy Farm 5.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Factor It In 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Synthesis 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bezos 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Red Smith S.) – Red Smith S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cold Hard Cash 0 0-1
9 9 Soldier Rising (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Temple 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Balthus (IRE) 4.50 3.8 7-1
12 12 Cold Hard Cash 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Highest Honors 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Astronaut 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Beacon Hill 20.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Dynadrive 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Reigning Spirit 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Daunt 50.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Mooney Love (IRE) 12.00 10.4 20-1
13 13 Kinetic Sky 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 I Am the Law 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mariachi 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Mama’s Gold 8.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Dr. Kraft 10.00 3.5 7-1
12 12 General Banker 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Factually Correct 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Itsallcomintogetha 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 October Bliss 30.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Victory Money 5.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 East Coast Girl 8.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Clever Forever 15.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Ferris Muler 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ring Me 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.