Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 26, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lilly Babe 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hail Columbia 1.60 1.6 3-1
3 3 Blame It On Rose 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Ardis 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tizzy Twister 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Spring Spinning 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Sangre Azul 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brandon’smylawyer 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tony Ann 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Alice Marble 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Bulletproof One 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Carolina Mia 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Aqua Seaform Shame 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 American Cat 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lemon Drop Shot 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Wegonahavagoodtime 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Irondale 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Dad Bod 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Agador Spartacus 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Carol’s Comic 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Valiente 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Head Start 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Awesome Taylor 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Secret Fix 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Super Renee 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Gypsy Lynn 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Bali Dancer 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Fried Asparagus 6.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Quicklikeabunny 12.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Alphie’s Angel 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Maven 6.00 1 2-1
9 8 Chaos Theory 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 He Be Mojo Risin 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 My Harbors Dream 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Real Money 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 6 Fully Loaded 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Grit and Curiosity 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 King of Speed 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Jacks Outlaw 12.00 6.1 11-1
11 10 Ted 20.00 SCRATCH
2 98 Barristan The Bold (GB) 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Barnstorming 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Harlocap 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Spun Intended 2.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Texthelegend 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Vegas Burner 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Smoose 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Calm Sea 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Johannes 5.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Tall Boy 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Seabiscuit H.) – Seabiscuit H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hong Kong Harry (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Smooth Like Strait 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Santin 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Beyond Brilliant 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Masteroffoxhounds 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Set Piece (GB) 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Irideo (ARG) 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Kentucky Ghost 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Lincoln Hawk (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Finally Here 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Savile Row 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Liberty Forever 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Hopkins 1.80 4.4 8-1
3 3 Good Vibes Only 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 City Rage 4.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Augusta Melody 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Finneus 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tio Magico 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Aligato 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Fly the Sky 12.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Goldeneye 20.00 3 6-1
7 7 Hawk of War 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Bang for Your Buck 4.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Dominant Soul 30.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Percolate (IRE) 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Agatino (IRE) 5.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Seven Wonders 8.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Hockey Dad 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.