Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 26, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fort Pike 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Eyeseemoney 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Bet On Bourbon 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Mrs. Della 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Loyal to the Chief 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Cheyann Glitters 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Demon Hunter 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Older and Wiser 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Ronalds Gatsby 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Stone Alliance 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Hard Kings 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Wild T Ranger 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Theos Flew 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Thunder Jam 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Itellyouthefacts 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Lilrascalman 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Herewecometogetyou 6.00 2 4-1
1 3 Gypsy’s Soulmate 3.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 My Heavy Son 3.50 4 8-1
6 6 Young Tuscan 4.50 4.3 8-1
1A 7 Totally Addicted 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Coltonator 2.50 1 2-1
5 6 Emerald Forest 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Call Me Midnight 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 4 Burninhunkoflove 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Yankee Seven 4.50 5 9-1
1A 3 Sign of War 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Martinized 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Foolish Dreams 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Play Mo 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Guitartuition Plzz 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Scoring Drive 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Mr. Tin Man 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Magazine Street 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mo Vodka 6.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Dialed a Dame 5.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Leroy Jenkins 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Stockpiler 10.00 2 4-1
10 10 Ironman Richie 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Ogre’s Lion King 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Ricky Bobby 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Mad Adam 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Afikoman 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spanish Kingdom 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Gentle Soul 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sailing Solo 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Charlie G 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Spooky Channel 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Dowagiac Chief 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sweet Chablis 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bank On It 5.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Vivaciously 3.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 My Aunt Snookie 3.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Tease Me Not 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Mo Lovin 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Trick Question 4.50 6.1 12-1
9 9 Charriere 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Internet Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lead Me 1.40 1 2-1
6 6 Shesabeautydancer 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Honeysuckledelight 5.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Rememberin Ronald 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mrs. Necaise 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Classical Magnolia 20.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 The Calling Stone 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Afleet Charlene 30.00 6 11-1
9 9 Bitsy A’s Lil Sis 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Scarlet Storm 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.