Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Karalinka | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soul Set Free | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gee She’s Pretty | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs. Krinkles | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hawkeye Girl | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wild Prospect | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Georgiano | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Calante | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Steelman | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Treasure Coast | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gucci Bling | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slim Jimmy | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zelick | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elkhorn Warrior | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Fire | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ryan Express | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loopy Dude | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Euroeast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joan’s Junior | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blueskiesandangels | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rainbow Gold | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vlock | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Windigo Spirit | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oga Bear | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeano | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Rumble | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sinnin N Grinnin | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Rosie | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taylor’s Vision | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naughty Natalie | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Lolita | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jan’s Baby | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sigicricket | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Excetera | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokey Reflection | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lynn’s Folly | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Da Candy Cane | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heady Moves | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nautical Moon | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dobbins G | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lethal Move | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m an Eight | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mr Hands On | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Frosted Prayer | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helluva Life | 2.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fra Mauro | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | With the Band | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River Kat | 6.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nietzsche | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Concrete Finisher | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silverscape | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Optimistic Cowgirl | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Birdie Curdy | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Tapper | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Squillions | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colors of the Wind | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Quest | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dutch Treat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Westons Wildcat | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizhotndusty | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turn On the Magic | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lab Rat | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Aaron | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Out Run’m | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ginsburned | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gunner Paul | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Power Red | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lord M | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thatsafactjack | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Loki | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Declined | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Belews Gold | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Affluent Gentleman | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brainstorm | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red N Wild | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Muni Muni Slew | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Papa Bill | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mingus | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Riversport | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | He Said Wait | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp as Damascus | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Computation | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Trumpet | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missin Hollywood | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sonic Posse | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Ghost | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rachel’s Caper | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tap N Play | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.