Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 27, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Starry Midnight 0 0-1
3 3 Stop the Humbug 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Mayito 12.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Mr. Agro 12.00 1.9 3-1
6 6 Tourist’s Dream 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Mad Dog N Joe 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Wings of Victory 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Phil in Echo 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Vax 2.50 15.2 29-1
7 7 Bustin Hot 4.00 15.3 29-1
4 4 Jsk Bucephalus 5.00 15.4 29-1
1 1 Starry Midnight 6.00 15.5 29-1
2 2 Red Butterfly 6.00 15.5 29-1
8 8 Marley’s Ghost 6.00 15.5 29-1
3 3 Spinning Colors 8.00 15.7 30-1
6 6 Queens Over Threes 12.00 16 30-1
4 4 Broke an Broken 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Capital Gal 6.00 1 2-1
7 8 Wicked Lady 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Tempermental 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 3 Reigning Chick 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 6 Rigby 5.00 5.4 10-1
1A 2 Holiday Jazz 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 5 Run Devil 6.00 6.6 13-1
3 4 I’m Nervous Now 5.00 7.6 14-1
6 7 R Girl Faith 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Today’s Flavor 0.80 1 2-1
3 3 Refuah 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Clash A. J. 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Stonecoldwarrior 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Support the Cat 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Capleton 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 My Man Matty 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Timeless Journey 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 To a T 1.80 2.7 5-1
2 2 Beachfront Bid 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Kerik 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Rhombique 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Sweet Surprise 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Run Up the Score 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bobby the Tank 1.40 1 2-1
8 8 Sounds Spooky 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Metamorphoses 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Camm’ Duke 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 No Regard 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Screen Door 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Who Me 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Dee’s Speedstre 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Widmark 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Tepin S.) – Tepin S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Alluring Angel (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Smokie Eyes 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Lifelovenlaughter 10.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Sweetlou’sgotaces 3.50 8.2 16-1
3 3 The Classy One 10.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Agua Dulce (GB) 12.00 9 17-1
4 4 Private Credit 4.50 9.5 18-1
7 7 Thirty Thou Kelvin 12.00 10 19-1
10 10 Next Episode 30.00 12.3 23-1
2 2 Bulsara 15.00 12.6 24-1
11 11 Gambling Girl 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Interpolate 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 La Vita Sofia 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Shidabhuti 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Discovery S.) – Discovery S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Naval Aviator 0 0-1
7 7 Saint Tapit 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Barese 5.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Winit 3.50 3.4 7-1
1 1 Be Better 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Affable Monarch 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Naval Aviator 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Eloquist 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Autumn Days S.) – Autumn Days S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Star Devine (IRE) 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Lady Edith 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Change of Control 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Honey Pants 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Athwaaq 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Hit the Woah 10.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Gogo Shoes 15.00 7.7 14-1
7 7 Mail Order 10.00 7.8 15-1
15 15 Itsakeyper 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Snicket 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Stolen Holiday 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Can’t Buy Love 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lemos Cunha 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Self Isolation 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Betsy Blue 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tap It Up 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Willful Desire 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Bella Michelle 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bank Buster 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Bring the Magic 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Baby Sox 8.00 8 15-1
2 2 Lady Shylock 10.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Germany Jayvo 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Caly Bali 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.