Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starry Midnight | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Humbug | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mayito | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Agro | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tourist’s Dream | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mad Dog N Joe | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wings of Victory | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phil in Echo | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vax | 2.50 | 15.2 | 29-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bustin Hot | 4.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jsk Bucephalus | 5.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starry Midnight | 6.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Butterfly | 6.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marley’s Ghost | 6.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spinning Colors | 8.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queens Over Threes | 12.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broke an Broken | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Capital Gal | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Wicked Lady | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tempermental | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Reigning Chick | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Rigby | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Holiday Jazz | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Run Devil | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 4 | I’m Nervous Now | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 7 | R Girl Faith | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Today’s Flavor | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Refuah | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clash A. J. | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stonecoldwarrior | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Support the Cat | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Capleton | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Man Matty | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Timeless Journey | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | To a T | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beachfront Bid | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kerik | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rhombique | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Surprise | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Up the Score | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bobby the Tank | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sounds Spooky | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Metamorphoses | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camm’ Duke | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Regard | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Screen Door | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Who Me | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dee’s Speedstre | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Widmark | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Tepin S.) – Tepin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Alluring Angel (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smokie Eyes | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lifelovenlaughter | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetlou’sgotaces | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Classy One | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Agua Dulce (GB) | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Private Credit | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thirty Thou Kelvin | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Next Episode | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bulsara | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gambling Girl | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Interpolate | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La Vita Sofia | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Shidabhuti | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Discovery S.) – Discovery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naval Aviator | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Saint Tapit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barese | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winit | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be Better | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Affable Monarch | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naval Aviator | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eloquist | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Autumn Days S.) – Autumn Days S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Star Devine (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Edith | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Change of Control | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honey Pants | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Athwaaq | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hit the Woah | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gogo Shoes | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mail Order | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Itsakeyper | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Snicket | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Holiday | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Buy Love | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lemos Cunha | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Self Isolation | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Betsy Blue | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tap It Up | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willful Desire | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Michelle | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bank Buster | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bring the Magic | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Sox | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Shylock | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Germany Jayvo | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caly Bali | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.