Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 27, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Candy On Top 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Shocking Grey 0.80 1.2 2-1
2 2 Magic Game 6.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Smart Monique 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Precious Baby 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Linger 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 My Yvonne 30.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Oat Milk Latte 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 The Big Cake 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Geezer 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Fun Money 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Hacking It Up 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mystic Flyer 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Amigo G A 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Midnight Lightning 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Creative Peak 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Give Me the Lute 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Commander Khai 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Lovesick Blues 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Mesut 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 I’ll Stand Taller 8.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Code Duello 15.00 5 9-1
11 11 Motorious (GB) 3.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Elevado 8.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Del Mo 20.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Mac Daddy Too 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Barristan The Bold (GB) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Yo Time 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Man O Rose 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Rhythem On Stage 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Montana 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Belly Up 4.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Buck Owens 8.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Venom 15.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Hondo Crouch 6.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Do It for Dave 30.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Regulation Dazed 12.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Star Prospect 20.00 11.1 21-1
5 5 Ship and Scam 6.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Issa Court 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Karakatsie 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Big Mama Sue 8.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Helens Well (IRE) 4.00 5 9-1
2 2 Barrister’s Ride 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 I’ll Do It for You 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Lady Clementine (GB) 5.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Aas de Faust (GB) 15.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Annaghlasa (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hennys Crazy Train 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mongolian Panther 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Lady T 5.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 American Lily 2.50 6.4 12-1
1 1 Del Mar Drama 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Holy Tutta Bella 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 She’s Got a Way 12.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Act of Serendipity 20.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Peace Peddler 4.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Violent Runner 6.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Tip Top Gal 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Time to Party 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Stotland 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 One Fast Bro 4.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Spirit Maker 5.00 5 10-1
2 2 Brit’s Wit 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Durante 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Brix 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Daniel’s Magic 6.00 8 15-1
9 9 Bud Knight 15.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Halfbarberbingie 15.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Cool Your Jets 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Native Diver S.) – Native Diver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Newgrange 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Defunded 1.20 3 6-1
2 2 Tizamagician 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Parnelli 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Azul Coast 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Go Joe Won 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Canelo 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 Quick Intro 20.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 If Id Told You 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mo Them Down 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Thanks Maggio (ARG) 6.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Circleofchampions 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Arrest 2.50 6.5 12-1
7 7 Never Seen Before (IRE) 5.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Hoodlum 12.00 10.6 20-1
3 3 Chris Fix 20.00 10.7 20-1
6 6 Tofino Bay 12.00 11.4 22-1
13 13 Oncoming 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Flint Stroll 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Algeria (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.