Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 27, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Paramour 0 0-1
3 2 Jazz Jazz Jazz 4.50 1 2-1
1 3 One Mo to Go 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Takeover Time 3.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Onecallthatsall 2.50 2.4 4-1
1A 7 Continental Red 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Paramour 6.00 6 11-1
4 4 Tazzher 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 War Trolley 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Dignified N Krafty 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Brother Jeff 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Friend’s Do Care 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Wild Fist 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mine Your Biz 10.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Lincoln Production 2.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Graceleadsushome 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Basalt Street 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 The Grey Beauty 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Loneshilohspecial 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Silk Shaker 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Wupkar 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Majestic Sign 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Direct Order 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Counter Offer 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Smokey Harbor 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Shippingport 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Ottothelegend 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rubiana 0 0-1
6 6 Parker Eva 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rose Palace 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Wise Memories 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Rubiana 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Little Fairy 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 One More Laugh 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Amanwalksintoabar 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Rally Board 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Cafe Racer 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Julia’s Warrior 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Wolf Hunter 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Machine Gun Man 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Global Sensation 4.00 1 2-1
13 13 C Falls 3.50 3.6 7-1
1A 14 Right Tone 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 1 Old Sot 8.00 7.8 15-1
5 4 My Romeo Lima 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 7 Path to Success 8.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Guntown 6.00 9.4 18-1
6 5 Future Victory 3.00 SCRATCH
1 8 Win Worthy 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Unleash the Power 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sutherland 4.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Monarch Man 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Solid Country Gold 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unwanted Intruder 12.00 1 2-1
10 10 Three Run Homer 20.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Imindycatbirdseat 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Guitar Tribute 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Zenucci 4.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Social Afleet 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Louisiana Moon 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 I’m d’Cat 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Grey Sloan 8.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Donna’s Court 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Luckenbacher 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.