Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 1, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Moonflyer 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kaon 1.60 3.1 6-1
1A 7 Please Baby 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Narciso Dali 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 4 Wisecraken 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Winning Connection 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Disturbed 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Mullingar 2.00 1 2-1
5 4 Outlaw Country 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Nieuwendyk 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 6 Practicallymine 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Don’t Let Me Down 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Whenlovetakesover 5.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 West Star 8.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Iron Man Jimmy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Funny Joke 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Ikigai 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Cousin Andrew 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 King James 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Money Mike 4.50 4 7-1
1A 7 Hagler 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 5 Joey Loose Lips 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Triple P 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 High School Crush 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Gris Tormenta 15.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Mebs Web 30.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 More Mango 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Game Theory 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Carly Hustle 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 London Gold 30.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Monshun 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Sweet as Sugar 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Red Jet 0 0-1
2 2 Sense a Giant 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Gimmebackmybullets 1.60 2 4-1
6 6 Makart 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Reunion Tour 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Maythisbetheone 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Red Jet 30.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Salty Heir 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 A Lister 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Predetermined 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Big Bean Christine 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Merger of Equals 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Handle the Truth 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Simple Sugar 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Crystal Orb 30.00 5 10-1
6 6 Lemon Taffy 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Sheza Rajun Cajun 2.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Arabellas Girl 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sweet Mystery 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Caragate 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Courageous Girl 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Byhubbyhellomoney 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Bustin Bay 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Golden Rocket 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Sister Linda 15.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Pretty Clever 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Know It All Audrey 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tap the Faith 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Toned Up 6.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Hoodooland 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Missy Greer 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Far Away Love (ARG) 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Corey 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 12 Russian to Win 3.50 1 2-1
4 2 Voliero 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 The Met 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Dontbelate 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Spectatorless 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Super Wicked Charm 20.00 5.2 10-1
9 11 Loaded Joe 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 1 Forever Wicked 3.50 6.3 12-1
2B 9 Mr. Briggs 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 3 R Boy Cheekum 30.00 8.7 16-1
2 6 Will E Sutton 5.00 SCRATCH
1A 10 Exxtop 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.