Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 1, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bork 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Top Hat Cat 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Marketbook 3.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Lookin for Larry 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Blue Ridge Red 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Bulletsrevenge 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Win in the City 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Double Bogey 20.00 8 15-1
4 4 Lucky Big Daddy 20.00 9.8 19-1
8 8 Carlos Punch 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Butwaitthere’smore 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Half a Buck 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vancouver Snow 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Thursday Morning 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Mongolian Diamond 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Arctic Guitar 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Boston Lucille 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Table One 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Fuhr Meo 4.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Sandy’s Wager 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Zeerock 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 You Your Daddy Son 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Wheels Turning 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Ted Striker 4.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Acabella 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 K V Target 8.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Play Master 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Fighting Soldier 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Queenie’s Leroy 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Angola Vacation 10.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Kat’s Soldier 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Now You Rules 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Paynt Battle 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Joeboy 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Macho Mark 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Trophy Daddy 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Blazing Charlie 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Tapped Out 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 U Complete Me 8.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 General Eisenhower 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 F J’s Gem 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 War Zong 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Johnny Jude 15.00 4 8-1
1 1 Chelsea’s Glory 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Isle Call U Later 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Count On Rain 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Not a Nyki 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 G E H Giants Way 3.50 7 13-1
5 5 Midge’s Time 6.00 8 15-1
3 3 Exotic Gentleman 20.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Genes Feather 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Kingdom Star 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Oak Hill Mo 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roll On Out 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Properly Connected 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 The Five B’s 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Elusivedestination 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Country Cat Jake 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 A’debris 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wild Bert 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Scrappy Artie 4.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Gold Merritt 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Prizeless 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Slither 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Justin Speight 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 Building Home 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 D’wild Muffin 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Golden Smiles 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 5 Tugboat 2.50 4.8 9-1
9 10 Our Liberina 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Won Day 3.50 5.9 11-1
2 1 Lil Adeau 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 9 Lucky Linz 12.00 8 15-1
5 4 Prayers Saved 4.50 8.8 17-1
4 3 Crypto Brave 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 The Boss Soss 1.40 1 2-1
6 7 Buck’s Glory 3.50 4 8-1
5 6 Racy Bille 4.50 5.2 10-1
2 1 Snakebit 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 2 Sonya Knows Better 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 My Lil Dude 6.00 7 13-1
7 8 Tensas All Ours 10.00 7.5 14-1
1A 5 Easy Eddie A 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.