Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 2, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blanchiment 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Our Rosie Diamonds 2.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Irish Empress 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Follow the Fed 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Bank Holiday 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 April First 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Laughter 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Racing Queen 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Wine Goddess 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Redstripe Princess 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Virtual Beauty 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Honor Star 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Princess Pinky 2.50 1 2-1
1 4 Raffinity 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Voice of Spring 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 8 Monshun 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Villareggia 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Exfiltration 12.00 3.3 6-1
1A 7 U Cant Handle This 4.50 7.8 15-1
3 2 Keen Dancer 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Devilly 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 True Empress 1.60 1.3 2-1
1 1 I’m Buzzy 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Cupids Girl 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Lady Firefoot 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Idaka 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nicholas James 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bali’s Shade 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Hang Tight 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Ghostlyprince 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Catching Cupid 1.80 4.2 8-1
1 1 Violent Rock 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Achilles Heel 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Secret Love 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Violent Vixen 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Patty H 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sister Annie 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Everyoneloveslinda 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Snicket 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Larz 0 0-1
8 8 Secret Thunder 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Two Chuckles 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Scootscoot 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Enzo’s World 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Obscured by Clouds 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Larz 5.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Warrior Richard 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Basic Truth 10.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Stormandy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shipsational 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Gasoline 1.80 1.7 3-1
7 7 Curlin’s Wisdom 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Perceived 12.00 3 6-1
1 1 Bold Victory 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 I Am the Law 8.00 5 10-1
8 8 Vasariano 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Uncle Water Flow 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Jemography 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Quick Return 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Gandy Dancing 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Double Shot 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Bronx Bomber 20.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Durkin’s Call 5.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Microscope 15.00 7 13-1
1 1 Tapizearance 30.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Acalteque 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Colormepazzi 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 First Deputy 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.