Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ashley’s Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mylies Star | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saberfight | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galaxy Affair | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shotgun Annie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bailey’s Charm | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Yellow Meadow | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Talty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Blaze | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tricky Mom | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bitsy C C Lil Girl | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atomic Rose | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chaos Magic | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Federal Court | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Apriority Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Decorated Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vodka Sunrise | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Troska | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mor Kisses | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Megans Millions | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moshinyfuture | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Act | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Iron Horse Soldier | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Curtin’s Up | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Corot | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tale of a Storm | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Invincibility | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Such | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I’m Looking Up | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Crimson Zip | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Jonathan Who | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Presumptive Closer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Turbine | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valdina Dreams | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Runner | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Data | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eurobeliever | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Arthur Ridge | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arkansas Zong | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ondatrackpimpernel | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Matts Fire N Ice | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth River | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Cool | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lagoon | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hyperbolist | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R T’s Wildcat | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thundertakesdalead | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bordeaux Red | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Blazing Charm | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Girl Thirsty | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Goodnightloving | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malartach | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Harlans Warrior | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fasted | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Envoys Legacy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Rose Crown | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mayapretty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bryken N Mitchell | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jamaican Me | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ninejuanjuan Call | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Duke of Blue Ridge | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jays Holiday | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Josan | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aztar | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmie’s Halo | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wood River | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dixie Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tensas Virginia | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girl in Black | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She Wants Half | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sarah Adriana | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Segoviana | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cold as You | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Not So Sweet | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stop the Friend | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Say What | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Brave Ollie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.