Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 2, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Realitos 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mokings 5.00 2 4-1
3 3 Blindedbythegees 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Pinch Me a Penny 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Swift N Traffic 5.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Dorgenois 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Jazla 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lenni Be Lucky 1.80 3 6-1
3 2 Miss Tonalist 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Thirsty Sister 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Higher Note 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Giglio 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 4 Lexington Diva 8.00 7.7 15-1
1A 8 Mucho Macho Baby 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glenn’s Jumper 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Two Dot 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 I’ll Raise You 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Fifteen Love Back 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 The Gray Blur 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Loveu and Proudofu 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Landofthepharaohs 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Guitar Woman 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Mo Smoking 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Agami 5.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Highly Wicked 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Nicely Unified 4.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Sikara Sikara 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Tap Iron Fist 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mesabi 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Majestic Mandate 6.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Afikoman 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Courageous Timmy 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Chiefweave 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Gorostieta’s Love 12.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Tapit to the Line 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Batucada 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Taylors Tap 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Beyond Doubt 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 All About Me 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Two Minute Drill 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tattered Heart 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pursuit l’Harmonie 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bitsy Perfectmatch 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Madison’s Screen 4.50 1.9 3-1
7 7 R T’s Gem 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Star Moment 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Mia Antonia 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Olivia G 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Two Jet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Forestdungone 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 No Pedigree 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Big Bella Brown 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Nosy Banker 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 C’Mon Ve 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Afleet Ascent 6.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Pepper Jack 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Saber Run 20.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Adieu Le Chat 12.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Knockalittlelouder 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Coach Kenny 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Cohere 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.