Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 3, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Classic Legacy 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Yorkshire Prince 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 One Bite 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Battlefield Park 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Bearings 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Power in Numbers 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sweet Liberty 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Fema Funds 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Midtown Lights 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Pretty Miss Keens 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Loon Cry 3.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Happy’s Smile 4.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Midnight Rosie 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Bandulu Queen 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Quality Stones 2.00 1 2-1
5 6 Beautiful Karen 3.50 1.6 3-1
1A 3 Viradia 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Dancingwthdaffodls 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 8 Diva Banker 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 5 Dat Dares Gold 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 That Is Key 2.50 SCRATCH
3 4 Sweet Maeve 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Steerage 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Chief Engineer 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Central Pride 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Clash A. J. 15.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Built to Last 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Hereby 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Quackenbush 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Callaloo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Monday Morning Qb 3.00 1 2-1
7 8 Milton the Monster 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Hero Tiger 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Bourbonic 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Kadri 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Turn of Events 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 American Gentleman 4.50 5.6 11-1
6 7 Cash Now 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Demoiselle S.) – Demoiselle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Foggy Night 0 0-1
1 1 Foggy Night 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Affirmative Lady 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Tribal Queen 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Julia Shining 0.60 4.8 9-1
6 6 Gambling Girl 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 La Vita Sofia 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Royal Spa 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Remsen S.) – Remsen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Il Miracolo 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Midnight Trouble 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Arctic Arrogance 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Prove Right 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Tuskegee Airmen 1.60 4.1 8-1
6 6 Quick to Accuse 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Dubyuhnell 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Go For Wand S.) – Go For Wand S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bank Sting 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Betsy Blue 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Love in the Air 10.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Battle Bling 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Self Isolation 10.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Dr B 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Exotic West 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 W W Fitzy 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Flight to Shanghai 20.00 7 13-1
11 11 Tonal Vision 15.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Sharapova 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Cigar Mile H. Presented By Nyra Bets) – Cigar Mile H. Presented By Nyra Bets

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mind Control 0 0-1
Mind Control 0 0-1
2 2 Zandon 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 White Abarrio 4.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Mind Control 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Double Crown 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Outlier 30.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Get Her Number 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 O Besos 99.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tenebris 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Colloquy 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Major Spin 4.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Gaslight 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Skylander 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Royal Tryst 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 What a Dude 5.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Semper Fidelis 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Be the Boss 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.