Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 3, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Candy Caramel 0 0-1
1 1 Bolt’s Broad 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Candy Caramel 5.00 4.6 9-1
12 12 Ancient Peace 6.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Balenciaga Betty 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Vagabond Prayer 12.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Mahina 15.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Autism Community 6.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Tea N Conversation 6.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Wirly Girly 10.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Rose Rose Rose 12.00 10.6 20-1
6 6 Carson Jen 30.00 11.4 22-1
7 7 Princess Magic 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Batukhan (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pittsburgh 1.60 1.3 2-1
6 6 Big Brother 2.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 La’och Aloysius 5.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Inesperado 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Rusty B Cause 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Asphalt Andy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thrumps Dream (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Malibu Marie 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Pharoah’s Song 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Buzz of New York (IRE) 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Freedom Lass 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Pulpit Rider 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Macadamia (BRZ) 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Ever Smart 2.50 7.2 14-1
10 10 New Heat 20.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Angel Nadeshiko 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tecumseh Caroline 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Whimsical Heir 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Bold Choice 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 A Little Bit Crazy 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Tapit Rocks 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stormy Liberal S.) – Stormy Liberal S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Sumter 4.00 1 2-1
9 8 Coulthard (IRE) 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Rebel Posse 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Hot Box 8.00 2 4-1
7 6 Turn On The Jets (IRE) 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Get Back Goldie 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Respect the Code 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Whatmakessammyrun 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Lane Way 2.50 SCRATCH
4 98 Sigiloso 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Merit Song 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Crowning Gold 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Flame Rider 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Mister Beams 2.50 4 8-1
2 2 Let Him Do 3.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Army Star 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Jimmy Durante S.) – Jimmy Durante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sell the Dream 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Showgirl Lynne B 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Jordan 20.00 4 7-1
11 11 Liguria 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Bizzy Gal 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Decorated My Life (IRE) 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Thebestisyettobe (IRE) 5.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Pallotta Sisters 6.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Ami Please 12.00 8 15-1
12 12 Ragtime Rose 12.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Quickly Park It 8.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Lollipop Gumdrop 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spirit of Makena 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mastering 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Street Ruckus 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Atomic Drop 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Finneus 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Traegar 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Direct Line 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Code Runner 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Ajaaweed 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Hollywood Derby) – Hollywood Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Speaking Scout 0 0-1
9 9 Wit 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Handy Dandy 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Cabo Spirit 5.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Speaking Scout 6.00 5 10-1
7 7 Spycatcher 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Script 8.00 6 11-1
6 6 Evan Harlan 20.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Clutch Hitter 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Celestial City 4.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 St Anthony 30.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 War At Sea 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.