Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 3, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Madame Jane 4.50 1 2-1
1A 8 Itsnotmyjob 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Classy and Fast 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Stan’s Golden Path 2.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Princess Trina 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Stella’s Surprise 12.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Foursweetnieces 8.00 6 11-1
1 1 Enduring Peace 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 High Cruise 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Sarcastic Tone 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Tapage 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Dried Pepper 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Intimidation 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Nate’s Attack 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Masterly 2.50 1 2-1
1A 5 Gracida 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 7 Hot Le Roy 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Midnight Nightmare 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 8 Custom Kat 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Tune My Guitar 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Cypriano 4.50 SCRATCH
5 6 Shanghai Ronnie 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Downtowner 2.00 1 2-1
6 7 Clear Humor 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Gold Bear 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Grab the Munny 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Lunar Light 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Jazzy Justin 2.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Rifle Man 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Wild Mallory 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Green Monster 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Harlons Commision 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Becca’s Bouquet 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Tiddly 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Miss Jamie 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 I’m All Mixed Up 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Summertime Bandit 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Roaring Quinn 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Respect All 2.50 1 2-1
1 5 Julio Choice 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 8 Mila’s Kat 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 9 Sugar Star 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 T R’s First 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Stop Shop N Drop 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Sweet Stormy Elle 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Hidden Expectation 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 1 My Avani 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Muffin Nuts 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Draft Choice 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Johnnysjourney 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Friendofthecourt 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Rock On Cowboy 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Mind On My Money 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Taken Back 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Liam Skye 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Bassett 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 High Ridge 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Slow 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lode of Blarney 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Carbon Stryker 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Farewell Time 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Old Indian Trick 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Jr’s Pacifico 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mucho Marvin 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Jake the Band Man 15.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Yes Bab 8.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 B W P Special 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bad Decisions 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Russet Moon 6.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Muletrain 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Hedaresthedevil 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Gray Dane 5.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Cottonclub Soldier 12.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Smarty Ridge 15.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Triple 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Barney’s Passion 15.00 9 17-1
12 12 McKay 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Silver Chalice 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dressed in Louie 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.