Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Finding Silver | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoothee Lee | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carl G | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Prayer | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reach the Circle | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willy Special Cats | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bayron | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pinky Ring Bling | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Romance | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hondo Lane | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Race Day Rebal | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sr. Bi Bi | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sinnin N Grinnin | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Lolita | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jan’s Baby | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taylor’s Vision | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sigicricket | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Tea Red | 4.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heady Moves | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sky Echo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cha Cha Dancer | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Misswish | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red River Witch | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Splitsecondecision | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | United Sister | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kavachi | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Salt Creek Gal | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Euroeast | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joan’s Junior | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blueskiesandangels | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Rumble | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vlock | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rainbow Gold | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jeano | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oga Bear | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Windigo Spirit | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Avenging Warrior | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Love My Ride | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tristans Journey | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ultra Special | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Selling Short | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twentyone N Change | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Great Faces | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canonize | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whip | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Stripe | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncorked Humor | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classetoga | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mr L B J | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Medicine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nautical Moon | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Hands On | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River Kat | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fra Mauro | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Moments | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lethal Move | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | With the Band | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | I’m an Eight | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helluva Life | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nietzsche | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Concrete Finisher | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thatsafactjack | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lookin for Loki | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Belews Gold | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Declined | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keller’s Gold | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muni Muni Slew | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Affluent Gentleman | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red N Wild | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chicken Truck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Westons Wildcat | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mister K | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizhotndusty | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Turn On the Magic | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Aaron | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out Run’m | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Skywalker | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ginsburned | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.