Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Check Engine Light | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Cross | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Grotte | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Germany Jayvo | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allamericanbeauty | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Herecomes Scarlett | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Its All Relevant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caribbean (AUS) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldini | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Umbria | 3.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supply Chain | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scotty | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liam’s Fire | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Valenzan Day | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rol Again Dancer | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby the Tank | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Alex | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victim of the Nite | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Going in Style | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Highway Harmony | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disruption | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Security Code | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Banterra | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lockbox | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pebble Lane | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime Blues | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince James | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Risk Profile | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mount Travers | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 2.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | South Africa | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical America | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dufresne | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Bea Star | 1.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shadolamo | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pave My Way | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juliana’s Rose | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gringotts | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bank On Anna | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Impazible Donna | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silken Dollar | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sedona Rocks | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bunty Windermere | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Galaxina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Yo Cuz | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (New York Stallion Series S.) – New York Stallion Series S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Somelikeithotbrown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Boy Tate | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bankit | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chowda | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocala Dream | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neuro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dreamer’s Disease | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cicciobello | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golquist | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eminency | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sinful Dancer | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ginnsu Warrior | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Whirlwind Ride | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amedeus Music | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can’t Beat Me | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kingstown | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’sgottashortfuse | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.