Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 4, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ashcroft 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Heartbreak Kid 6.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Mi Hermano Ramon 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Dandy Man Shines (IRE) 3.50 2.5 5-1
11 11 De la Luna 20.00 3 6-1
1 1 Shadow Creek (IRE) 12.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 The Slap 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Carver 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Bolt Supremacy 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Smart Code 12.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Jeweled Shillelagh 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Escape Artist 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Midnight Majesty 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Agrigento 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 U R Pressed 2.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Whiskey Vision 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Raisedaroofcharlie 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Cross Examine 5.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Frost Alert 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Paulliac (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Valiancer 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Russells Hustle 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Glendale 30.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Single Track Mind (IRE) 4.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Low Expectations 10.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Hawker 5.00 6.2 12-1
12 12 Keen to Go 20.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Genius Jimmy 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Bluegrass Ryder 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Gaelic Nation (IRE) 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Maltese Falcon (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Tenacious Lady 4.00 1 2-1
7 6 General Welfare 8.00 1 2-1
13 12 Sweet Hello 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Cherry Chaos 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Nobe 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Forest Acclamation 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Prestigious 6.00 4.7 9-1
12 11 Blackened 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Short Journey 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 4 Hollywood Rumor 15.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Miss Kaline 8.00 SCRATCH
4 98 Bruins Mastery 0.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Lucky Vegas 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Cecil B. Demille S.) – Cecil B. Demille S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speed Boat Beach 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 First Peace 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Ransomware 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Game Time 6.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Fleet Feet 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Ah Jeez 3.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Ze’bul 5.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Kolomio 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Lloyds Logic 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Resilient 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 I Know Cash Flow 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Square Cat 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Holiday Arousal 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Brace for Impact 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Thirsty Always 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Single Me Out 5.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Mr. T’s Thirsty 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Matriarch S.) – Matriarch S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hamwood Flier (IRE) 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Regal Glory 1.60 2 4-1
9 9 Dolce Zel (FR) 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Avenue de France (FR) 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Bipartisanship (GB) 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 England’s Rose 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Eddie’s New Dream 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Pizza Bianca 6.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Gold for Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Wakanaka (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Street Art 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Oncoming 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Papale 3.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Petruchio 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Crypto Munny 20.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Tisquantum 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Birth of Cool 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Egomania 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Bright Leaf 2.50 7 13-1
3 3 Candy for Carmel 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Earls Rock (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mecklenburg (IRE) 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Ready Soul 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Zoffarelli (IRE) 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Lincoln Hawk (IRE) 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Hudson Ridge 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 6.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Flashiest 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Crew Dragon 30.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Kanderel 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.