Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 4, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Zodiac Princess 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Serenade a Kitten 10.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Pearlescent 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Domineering 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Divine Exchange 15.00 4 7-1
8 8 Mosler’s Image 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Hardly Social 30.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Chica Boom 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Money Factor 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Dontmesswithtess 4.50 6.4 12-1
7 7 Wicked Mercury 10.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Perspicacious 10.00 6.8 13-1
13 13 Drinks On Me 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Defender Gal 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sistren 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Honor Tori 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Upstreet 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Yooou Know 2.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Queen Rocket 10.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Reasonably Lovely 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wand 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Souper Tropical 4.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Cloudy Bay 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Sturdy Girl 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mohawk Trail 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 She’s a Joy 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Literate 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Frosty O Toole 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silky Warrior (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
9 9 California Gigi 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Mamita Linda 10.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 What Knot 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Elusive Uncaptured 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Dia de Sol 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Hotter Than July 20.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Twin Cause 30.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 South Pacific 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 First Gold 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Fuente Ovejuna (GB) 0 0-1
10 10 Blue Times 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Insatiable 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Stuck On Kitten 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 My Candy Girl 20.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Fawning 5.00 5 10-1
1 1 Fuente Ovejuna (GB) 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Mint Edition 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Kanta 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 I’m So Sorry 20.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Village Queen 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Standoff 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Starship Nugget 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dignified 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Capridrey 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Awesome Apeal 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Chutzpah 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Look Up to Heaven 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Caged Pixie 3.50 5.7 11-1
2 2 Mudshaft 30.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Arete’s Chalice 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Yes This Time 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Abaan 1.60 2.3 4-1
2 2 Grand Journey 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Calibrator 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Eyes On Target 4.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Marwad (GB) 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Sole Volante 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Sky’s Not Falling 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Brazillionaire 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Journeyman 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Dominate Themoment 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rolling On 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Boris 5.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Gran Slash 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Zydeceaux 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Midnight Onyx 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Carabinero 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Hard to Handle 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Wonka 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Regal Realm 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Jumeirah 20.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Lovelorn Lady 12.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Tequilera 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Indicia 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Toeris 3.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 Maria’s Revenge 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Sister Nell 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Baby Blue Eyes 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Perfect Provision 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Flip My Id 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Crosstalk 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Miracle Drug (IRE) 15.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Lovin Makes Cents 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Muguruza 20.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Boston Princess 8.00 8 15-1
5 5 Cupid Austin 15.00 10.1 19-1
12 12 Solair 5.00 10.4 20-1
9 9 Ghostly Night 20.00 10.7 20-1
8 8 Candymeister 30.00 11.8 22-1
10 10 Bali Moon 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.