Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 4, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 L Street Lady 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Reckless Kelly 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Camilla 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Major Houlihan 4.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Irish Zapper 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Bright Moon 3.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 New Rome 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Quick Tempo 0.50 1 2-1
2 2 Royal Thunder 4.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Indefatigable 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Jimmy the Kid 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Instigated 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Mojac Kat 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Crimson Rocket 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bowie Two Step 1.80 1.1 2-1
7 7 Eleazar 12.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Never Silenced 20.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Dr Rags 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Skip the Bull 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Jebster 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lookin Spunky 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Performanceanxiety 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Made It 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Tipsy Tourist 6.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Poet in My Heart 3.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Party Ready 4.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Fire At Midnight 12.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Manitoulin Island 5.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Conductance 6.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 I Have Courage 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pudge Boy Palace 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Trash Talkin Larry 2.50 1.4 3-1
6 6 Hellman 5.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Milano 4.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Mailman’s a Flyer 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Strategic 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Resilient Courage 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Galactic Tide 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Blonde Samaritan 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cami Rachelle 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Sister Spirit 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Happy Time 3.50 4.5 9-1
9 9 Five Star Fran 4.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Carmel Sunrise 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Midnight Revenge 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Susanas Luckycharm 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Jimmydabook 30.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Golden Blossom 8.00 8 15-1
4 4 Always Forward 6.00 8.2 15-1
14 14 Book and Cancel 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Let’s Make a Zeen 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Welling 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Camp Pendleton 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Oxide 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Lifespan 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mine to Hold 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Riding Cloud Nine 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hope Has a Name 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Canoodle 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Response Time 5.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Sweet Gracie 5.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Peyton Elizabeth 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Alta Velocita 6.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Movie Moxy 4.50 6.6 12-1
8 8 Hashtag Lucky 10.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 My My Girl 10.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Double Fireball 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Thunder Boss 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Midnight Choir 5.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Alliallioxenfree 2.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 I Can Do It 20.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Lucina 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Brzina 3.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Lady Gangster 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.