Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 4, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rare Discovery 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Unxpected Tiger 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Manetka 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Aramos 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ugotafriendinme 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Hey Luigi 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Smart Sky 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Why Not Bourbon 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Anselmo 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 The Coachman 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Swath 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Alpha Beta Gama 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 All Time Classic 4.50 5.4 10-1
7 7 Midnight Saint 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Scarborough Bluffs 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Boston Bay 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Keyser 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Preetzah’s Star 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Seattle Point 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Blasito 3.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 River of Babylon 12.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Graceful Fighter 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sir Seamus 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 U S Army Corps 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Perfect Crime 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Salvator Mundi 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lenny K 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 My Silencer 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 The Great Oz 3.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Citrus Boy 10.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Cotton 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Awesome Treat 0 0-1
4 4 Bayou Belle 10.00 1 2-1
5 5 Curlin Candy 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Awesome Treat 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Twister Alert 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Magic Ride 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Spider Belle 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Lady Brew 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Retail Therapist 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Town’s Warrior 0 0-1
1 1 Kinetic Stone 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Yorkville 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Mr Speed 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Town’s Warrior 12.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Crumlin Lad 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Alpha Meister 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Stanley House 2.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Mesa Spirit 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ernie’s Martini 12.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Midnight Moonshine 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Valedictory S.) – Valedictory S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Megayacht 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 English Conqueror 12.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Seventyseven Stone 30.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Collective Force 15.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Angelou 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Novo Sol (BRZ) 3.50 5.8 11-1
12 12 Who’s the Star 2.50 7.3 14-1
6 6 British Royalty 8.00 8 15-1
7 7 Wentru 15.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Elusive Knight 10.00 10.3 20-1
8 8 Ya Beauty (GB) 30.00 11.9 22-1
11 11 Prideofdistinction 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malibu Edge 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Rondure 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dolder Grand 1.60 1.4 3-1
4 4 Concealed Carry 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Conglomerate 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Enchant Me 20.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 God of Love 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Henley’s Joy 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Miss Marie 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Argentium 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kiddie Holiday 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Foresters Princess 6.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Hell Bent 10.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Broken Proposal 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Supremeaction 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Silent Lucidity 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Box N Score 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Hallie’s Hero 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mr. Dazzle 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Shangassah 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Timeskip 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Moon Over Montana 4.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Combative 2.50 6.8 13-1
5 5 Duke of Carthania 3.50 6.8 13-1
3 3 Marisa’s Mission 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Glovanna 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Ready Hero 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.