Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | New York Supreme | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosty Invasion | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madame Rose | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tonight We Love | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warsalm | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flattering Gal | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greatest Love | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Afleet Diva | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Fire | 1.40 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Big Q | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | She’s a Black Belt | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Dat Dares Gold | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Melting Snow | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She Caught My Eye | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Beauty Princess | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | April Antics | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Synonymous | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Infringement | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Kreem Sundae | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Raining Candy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Pioneer Spirit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Truculent | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Grumps Little Tots | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Chris and Dave | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Hammerin Aamer | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bourbon Bay | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Dark Storm | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Royal Prince | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morethanafeeling | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Chase | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drake’s Passage | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inspector | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wanna Winna | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sharpaz | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zapruder | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mama Banned Me | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morethanafeeling | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Pharoahs | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Banker | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sundaeswithsandy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baldizar | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Six Percent | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gracefully Wild | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mostly Harmless | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Wine | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belleshazza | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fuligni | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boxed in and Bored | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bizzy Izzy | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charlottesometimes | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mosienko | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fouette | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Piece of My Heart | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Mamaluke | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Thistlefield | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Easy Day | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Styner | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O’Trouble | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nutsie | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Runabout | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | F F Rocket | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trigger Pull | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Bowman | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Acalteque | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.