Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 8, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malibu Money 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Moonshine Max 3.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 West Texas Bob 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Chan 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Mr. Numero Uno 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Wicked Tough 5.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Nautical Cruise 15.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Berserko 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Genes Feather 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Midnight Hunter 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Marliesrajuncajun 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Macer the Racer 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Start Well 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Kiss Goodbye 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Deal Me a Penny 15.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Here Comes Lovie 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Jersey Hottie 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Eagleoverthemoon 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Follow the Saint 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Savannah’s Here 8.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 She’s Takin Over 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Little Z 12.00 1 2-1
3 3 Chickietown Star 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Crapaud 15.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 A. P. Style 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Gypsy Jackpot 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Geaux Vote 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Tolatetoowait 4.50 7.1 13-1
4 4 Pennies for Paulla 6.00 8.2 16-1
9 9 Fire Vision 10.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 She’sagamechanger 20.00 9.7 18-1
11 11 Cherry Star 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lauri’s Wish 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Andiamo Giacomo 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Aligned Interest 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Bourbon St Tappin 4.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Cheatin Charlie 6.00 6 11-1
6 6 Holiday Diamond 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Salute Now 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mad Gold 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Candy Shopper 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Jackie Moon 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Amazing American 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Half a Buck 3.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Big Sessy 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Big Russss 5.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 South Al Sparky 10.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Paynted Lover 10.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Shady Monkey 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Spry Charlie 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Corn Soup 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Tenor 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lucky Break 4.00 2 4-1
2 1 Special Breed 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 8 Escrow Style 5.00 2.7 5-1
1A 7 Speedy G 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 4 Waitin’ On a Woman 2.50 6.5 12-1
5 5 Cleric 12.00 8 15-1
3 2 Flashy Premo 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Louis Le Grande 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Witch’s Vow 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Confess 3.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 War Reporter 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Clever Prince 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 St Basil 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Michael’s Bad Boy 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Butwaitthere’smore 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Moro Flyboy 6.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Perfect Strike 6.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Proudtown 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mo Bonita 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Cora Pearl 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Izatiz 3.00 5 9-1
4 4 Grand Expectations 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Raise the Praise 4.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Hey Madalyn Claire 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Umatilla 2.50 1 2-1
11 11 Roadside Girl 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Grace’s Vision 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Yes I’m a Lady 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Don’t Blink Twice 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Maywon 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Serengeti Six 4.50 7.5 14-1
2 2 Sammy Jammy 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Ellie’s Touch 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Ms. Miller Time 6.00 9.4 18-1
12 12 Atlantic Band 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Valenia 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.