Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Demon Hunter | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ronalds Gatsby | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Alliance | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Theos Flew | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Friend’s Do Care | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Fist | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bitsy’s Custom C | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steal It Back | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Argybargy Buck | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Three Ks | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gem of Carlos | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sneaky Allie Kat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hoosier | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mysterious Spirit | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Main Dude | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tucker the Grump | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Astrologysprotege | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wishert | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kittenofthe Court | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anita’s Vision | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Bling | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cadillac Ridge | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unified Love | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Averi Ever After | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Why Behave | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madam Henny | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Abbey Lane | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pi Yo Princess | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Medway Queen | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Emma | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sikum | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Master Game | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arabian Prince | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flint Ridge | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out American | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holy City | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Durango | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Masquerade Ball | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baseline Beater | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fortune | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phileas Fogg | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Single Ruler | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Step On It | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fight’n Ready | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bernucci | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lead Me | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drewsilla | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lawless Times | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classical Magnolia | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Necaise | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of the Moon | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pickin Ana Grinnin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.