Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Improper | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Quick | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Norgay | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Appeal | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Purchase | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wealllikedhim | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Melting Snow | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Blindness | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Linny Kate | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kerik | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tilsa | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That Is Key | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashing Red | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tempermental | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Riding On a Winner | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moam | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bunty Windermere | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Delicious | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tingling Mint | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sean the Hammer | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | North Pole | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Quality | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | John’s Protege | 1.60 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papi On Ice | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Genesis One | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharpoon | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Ria’s Angel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Speight’spercomete | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Lucky Brody | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | B C Glory Days | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Comets | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Midnight Worker | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Centavo | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Astral Weeks | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Slow Decision | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Cash in a Flash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Son of an Ex | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complete Agenda | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Complete Agenda | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curbstone | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon’s Hope | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afjan | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Light | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Water Flow | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spettro | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Speaks for Itself | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leeloo | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pharoah’s Heart | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | To a T | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chasing Cara | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ruvies in Time | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Dalliance | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Rockette | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Firing Carol | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Milagro | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fire Sword | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Market Alert | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Synthesis | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jalen Journey | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amundson | 1.40 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arthur’s Hope | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Senior Investment | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Two Down | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full Moon Fever | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Forty Two Ace | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Simply | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Mason Mania | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Royal Suspect | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Excursionniste | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Samay | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laban M Mo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Dr. Marbooz | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Basis Risk | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Datesfreedom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.