Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 9, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hopeitsmyluckyday 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Bayou Beauty 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Shes a Lucky Rebel 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Pray for Us 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Entitlement 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Dat Guitar 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Kudzu Juvenile S.) – Kudzu Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mallori’s Magic 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Alabama Queen 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Unitedappeal 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Pure Pam Demonium 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Zadar 8.00 6 11-1
3 3 She Is Making Rip 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Magic City Classic S.) – Magic City Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Foolish Steve 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Two Mikes N Doc G 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Fired Up Tiger 1.60 2.9 5-1
2 2 Liken It 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bobby Jr. 15.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Kellys the Boss 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Bama Drifter 50.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Frog Town 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Deccan Prince (IRE) 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Born Flawless 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Briartown 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Humor Me Please 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Ghost Bike 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Varsity Flygirl 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Carson’s Princess 3.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Glance 5.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Paytonsattheplate 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Quinn Murphy 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Dance Rhythms 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Firingtothefront 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jeeper 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bartulia 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Maasai Warrior 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Prince of Glory 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Bright Spark 4.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Ice Axe 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Guaranteed Speck 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Everlovinghand 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 And Fifty 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Budro Talking 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Bind Faith 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Pacificislandtime 5.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Cherokee Takeover 4.50 7.7 15-1
2 2 Treys Midnite Moon 8.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Mr. Four Sevens 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cerchi 3.50 1 2-1
3 2 Hayunevano 5.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Beautifulnavigator (IRE) 4.00 2 4-1
1 6 Best Performer 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Cushee 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 3 Internet Girl 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 9 Soultitlesready 10.00 4.7 9-1
1A 8 Varmlander 3.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Spartan Queen 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Drewzano 6.00 1 2-1
8 9 Tappin Fora Dance 8.00 1.6 3-1
7 8 Maintainance Matt 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Impact Player 5.00 2.9 5-1
1A 6 Oak Hill Solution 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Underdog 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Three Run Homer 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Mr. Priority 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Hope for Change 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.