Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 10, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Inspeightoftrainer 1.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ee Yah 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Sixwillberich 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Second and Reed 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Bear’s Correct 30.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Mo Than Luck 6.00 7 13-1
6 6 Wave Action 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dame Cinco 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sa Foradada 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Brisky Frolic 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Racing Colors 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Dancing Sophia 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Gagliano 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Poppy’s Pride 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Miami Chrome 8.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Ninth Hour 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Casalsa 4.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Bustin the Rules 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Dee Bo 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Ballydooley (GB) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Good Skate 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Jay’stalker 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Swift Tap 1.60 2.9 5-1
7 7 Voliero 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Seanan 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Ach Du Lieber 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Doctor Love 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Motion to Strike 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Storm Shooter 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Brunate 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Jade’s Dream 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Majestic Tiger 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Waheel 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Spectatorless 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Ready to March 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 A Huge Checkpoint 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Run Up the Score 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Music Amore 8.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Vallarand 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Trade Secret 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Funwhileitlasted 4.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 She’s Got Game 20.00 6 11-1
8 8 Masabeeh 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 My First Love 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Reigning Chick 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Excellent Timing 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Who Hoo Thats Me 1.60 2 4-1
8 8 Silver Seeker 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Brew Pub 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Bar Fourteen 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Colormepazzi 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Bold Journey 10.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Scilly Cay 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Garland Of Roses S.) – Garland Of Roses S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Betsy Blue 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Smash Ticket 2.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Beguine 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Snicket 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Disco Ebo 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Dontletsweetfoolya 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hot Peppers 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Quick Chaos 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 What’s Up Bro 4.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Little Luca 3.50 2.4 5-1
9 9 Four Eyes 5.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Connect the Brocks 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Michael Leis 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 American Grant 12.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Ferris Muler 15.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Campbelito 15.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Perfect Outcome 20.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.