Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 10, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Arms Apriority 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Saucy 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Miss S T Lee 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Expect a Dancer 5.00 3 6-1
2 2 Piece of Me 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Caught My Heart 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Greeley’s Dealer 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Guitar Slim 1.80 1.1 2-1
2 1 Binding 5.00 3.4 7-1
3 2 Bayou Jam 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 3 Tensas Toddy 6.00 4.1 8-1
1A 7 Justa Swinging 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Social Afleet 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Taken It 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Taking Pictures 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Moonlightmaddy 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Mardi Gras Alarm 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Gatsby’s Gift 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Beulah K 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Dreamed I Am Fast 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Decorated Lady 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Everlyn’s Angel 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Silver Chalice 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Midnight Hunter 4.50 3.1 6-1
1A 7 Tough Start 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 5 Dark Matter 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 8 Cole’s Sensation 6.00 5.4 10-1
5 4 Uncle Brad 5.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Omg Ur Kidding Me 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Petey 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2B 9 Pickens 2.50 1 2-1
1 4 Midnight Fire 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 1 Colonel Klink 3.50 2.3 4-1
1A 5 Dancin With Angels 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 2 Mists of Time 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 10 King of the Court 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Motawaafeq 4.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Guitar Doctor 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 8 Crimson Zip 2.50 SCRATCH
5 3 Oceola 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pinch Assault 2.00 1 2-1
3 4 Indimaaj 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 5 Extirpator 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 6 Union Station 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 7 Big Boy Dave Rex 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Secular Stagnation 6.00 5.8 11-1
1A 3 Special Pryce 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Bibleman 2.00 1 2-1
6 5 Galaxy Builder 6.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Reece’s Priority 4.50 4.5 9-1
5 4 Diablo Cat 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 3 Gimmeasound 3.50 5.5 10-1
3 2 Bunkie’s Song 6.00 6.1 11-1
2 1 G Don’t Know 8.00 6.6 13-1
1A 8 Laughingsaintssong 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 City Park 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cucina 10.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Entertainment 15.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Unfathomed 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Venn 4.50 1.9 3-1
4 4 Speaktomeoflove 8.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Hail State 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Wise Verdict 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Far Beyond 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Munqad 4.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 American Code 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fish N Chick 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Charlie’s Peak 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Tay Tay’s Baby 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Rachie Rach 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Zeatrical 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Enduring Peace 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Prayers Saved 5.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 My Sweet Sophia 12.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Achancetowin 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.