Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 10, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Starter Stakes

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zydeco Music 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Puzzling Priority 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Ourperfectprincess 3.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Galaxy Thirtysix 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 See Sassy Run 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Rockett Magic 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Angela’s Celerity 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Z Resurrection 4.00 1 2-1
8 9 Kajun Karma 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 2 Slick and Fast 4.50 2 4-1
5 6 Veterans Day 6.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Righteous Freedom 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Peso Pesado 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 10 Thomas Davis 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 8 Skippa 15.00 5.4 10-1
1A 4 Parker Now 4.50 SCRATCH
6 7 Special Agent Jim 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tumbarumba 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Not On Herb 3.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Late September 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 The Boss Soss 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Half Full 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Calicoco 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Ranch Water 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Norah G 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Free Drop Maddy 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Don’tcallmepatsy 10.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Louisiana Liberty 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Starship Jambalaya 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tensas Candy 3.50 5 10-1
8 8 Addi Bug 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Louisiana Cowgirl 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ova Charged 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Free Like a Girl 1.40 1.9 3-1
6 6 Spirited Beauty 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Snowball 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Half Koo Koo 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wupkar 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Stakes) – Starter Stakes

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mr. Production 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Alterana 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Cryptozonic 5.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Golden Palace 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Reckless Ransom 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Dixie Street 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Secret Vista 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Zelig 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Inthealy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Distaff S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Winning Romance 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Cheapskate Diva 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Fort Polk 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 A G’s Charlotte 3.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 She’s Gone d’Wild 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Lutie Mo 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Wholelottamo 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Eve’s Delight 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Highland Creek 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Behemah Star 4.50 1.3 3-1
7 7 Who Took the Money 0.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Ballinonabudjet 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Touchuponastar 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Maga Man 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Cosmic Train 20.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Beauregard 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.) – Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Bertie’s Galaxy 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Brian’s Iron Mike 5.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Creole Charlie 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Big Chopper 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Yankee Seven 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Win Ya Win 10.00 6.1 11-1
13 13 Relentless Dancer 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Janets Jay Jay 20.00 6.8 13-1
16 16 Fiesty Fist 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Mike J 50.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Unified Report 12.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Jax Man 15.00 9.4 18-1
15 15 Scarlettsblackjack 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Takes Two to Tango 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Schnell 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Touchuponastar 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.