Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crimson Zip | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Forman | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | News Box | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Vermilion | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atras | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forevamo | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coal Truth | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keesawah | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breaking News | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Watch This Birdie | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stuck N Snow | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shake Up | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Choctaw Zip | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jim Ned | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Prince | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outlaw Run | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | K J’s Legacy | 10.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Westheimer Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rudiano | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Time Andbeyond | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ready Shoes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Great Barrier | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Lobo Irish | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Love My Jimmy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Otis Otis Otis | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drena’s Star | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Even Thunder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Violent Gigi | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Pastrami | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Acosta | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mo Choctaw | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Afleet Sky | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bettys Cash | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodnight Archie | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mahomey | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bellamys Roan | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buddy Reaux | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Success | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marvelous Thunder | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Smokin Boots | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Heat Is On | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Holding Pattern | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J’s Little Man | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Doc Irwin | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lark’s Mischief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Funny Uncle | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Runningforcash | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Bookkeeper | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seas of Normandy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Six Whips | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | J J’s Joker | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bubba Can Dance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chicago’s Gray | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spurrier | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Juilliard | 3.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cowboy Values | 4.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tapit’s Spirit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Forget | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skelly | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Dixie | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Totalizer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tango Charlie | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ignitis | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | You Vee Cee | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Improbable Journey | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Namesake | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncaptured Sky | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Geaux Yoshka | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Torontotoro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jackman | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Ring The Bell S.) – Ring The Bell S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flash of Mischief | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One for Richie | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baytown Bear | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Range Toddy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boldor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chattalot | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kavod | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bougie Joe | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rungius | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Millers Rite | 30.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winters Lion | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Sean | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Parkway | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Empire’s Best | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocking Rocket | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Deluca | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Over Dubai | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Leola | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Itwasthisbig | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pier Pressure | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Backside Buzz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mistletoe S.) – Mistletoe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Coach | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Le Da Vida (CHI) | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Will’s Secret | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Ride | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lisette | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Semble Juste (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ice Orchid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | B Sudd | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Mrs. Beans | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ultimate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Give It Everything | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Xperiment | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bandit Point | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amongst Friends | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ben Diesel | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Hornet | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond City | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blame Eli | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broken Rib | 4.50 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | American Pure | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lake Radio | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.