Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 10, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Popthechampagne Ro 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Sixth Anniversary 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 More Gelato 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mister Meseeks 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Big Investment 15.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Trinity Park 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Thunderheavyrain 8.00 8 15-1
6 6 Smart Sky 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Meritamen 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ashlee’s Ring 20.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Speedy Essa 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Mrs. C 20.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Machina 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Spirit Belle 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Take Chances 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Cherry Gardens 8.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Serenade Bay 12.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Miss Molly Lalou 10.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Princess Didi 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Proud Speaker 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 English Shirl 10.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Dreams and Schemes 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Jab 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Now Is a Breeze 3.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Dark Dahlia 4.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 April de Velp 6.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Mason’s Music 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Umneyaat 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Sugar Is Golden 5.00 2 4-1
6 6 Know How (GB) 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Sacred Dancer 10.00 3 6-1
9 9 Muskoka Summer 6.00 3 6-1
12 12 Spooky Spice 3.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Ashbury 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Indian Music 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Charlotte’s Silver 15.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Remembering Rhoda 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Kerics Beauty 12.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Northern Passage 15.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Sweet Edition 20.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Emicrack (CHI) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lenny K 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Forester’s Turn 3.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Mr Crowley 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Dilettante 2.50 5.9 11-1
2 2 Wenjack 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Dragon’s Brew 12.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Master Spy 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Downy Boy 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 I’m Into Mischief 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Into Touring 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Diamond Crush 15.00 3 6-1
10 10 Well Actually 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Lady Brew 3.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 De Joria 6.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 She Makes a Point 4.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Quinte Road 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Spanish Beauty 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Totally in Charge 10.00 10.2 19-1
11 11 Foxy Diva 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bedazzle Me 20.00 1 2-1
6 6 Alexandrova 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Tito’s Calling 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Esme 4.00 3 6-1
9 9 Aha Moment 2.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Great Kate 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Smoken Chloe 6.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Victorious Tapit 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Cry Freedom 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Speedy 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Aubrieta 2.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Hai Bobbi 10.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Trading Bay 3.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Owen’s Tour Guide 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Calle Ocho 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Gloriannia 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 No Whammie 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Geneva 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Mardene 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Royal Chrome 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Maralinga 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 High Treason 10.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 Shez a Sealy 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Intro 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Zisisit (IRE) 6.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Blueberry Fields 4.50 7.8 15-1
5 5 Smiles for David 3.00 8.9 17-1
6 6 Trilling Song 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (La Prevoyante S.) – La Prevoyante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Silent Causeway 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 November Fog 12.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Il Malocchio 2.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Lorena 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Golden Vision 6.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Lady Moonshine 4.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Talk to Ya Later 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Strega 10.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Swinging Mandy 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Who Says 0 0-1
4 4 Tempereya 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bequia 6.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Who Says 12.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Text Me Up 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Ami’s Link 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Shanghai Shamrock 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Buttered Toast 20.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tara Luna 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Erasmo’s Girl 8.00 4 7-1
6 6 Hallanvaara 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Erratique 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Nice Company 12.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Fresh Dreams 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Ever So d’Wild 3.00 2.3 4-1
12 12 Reign by Rein 20.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Five Days in May 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Pierian 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Crumlin Bird 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Mi Tormenta 20.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Let’s Have Fun 20.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Little Fire 12.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 A Maize Zing Dotie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fielder 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Speedy Bolt 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Marten River 2.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Race for Pinks 8.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Explode 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Tricky Magician 8.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Goldmine Cat 30.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Ben Lomond 6.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Big Warden 20.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Tall Water 15.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Browning Island 20.00 8.5 16-1
14 14 Chairman Bob 12.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Awesomecrest 20.00 11.2 21-1
8 8 Keen Samurai 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Big Executive 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.