Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Into Happiness | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Into Happiness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charging Lady | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Geometrique | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dolce Sera | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mischief Motion | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ughrouda | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bella Michelle | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 5 | 5 | Cookie Crumbs | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Michelle | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Good Trouble | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bank Buster | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indyan Penny | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hypnocurrency | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hoochie Coo | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Win for Gold | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jake Rocks | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Will E Sutton | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eddie the Great | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alite | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Easy to Bless | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Its Cold in Dehere | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Short Summer Dress | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honey Money | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Customerexperience | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alarm Clock | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Aegean Sea | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Spooky Road | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spin a Yarn | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ribot’s Valentine | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Byhubbyhellomoney | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captainsdaughter | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khali Magic | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Clever | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Sophia | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curly Girl | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vallelujah | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Color Commish | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 7 | 7 | Disarmed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fire King | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Max Foster | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Color Commish | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Catillac Kid | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lieutenant Sam | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brad’s Bet | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zuccarace | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Saratoga Strong | 8.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Milagroso | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In My Shadow | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rough Sea | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Burn | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outlier | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Locally Owned | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Salt | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Healing | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amatteroftime | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Therisastormbrewin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Famished | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Uno | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Zircon | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On the Hill | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Today’s Flavor | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warriors Revenge | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Last Mission | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Safalow’s Mission | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Institute | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Constant Knight | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Taco Bean | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Open Til Midnight | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Persistent Danger | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chief Engineer | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Son Jake | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Patrick the Great | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing With Rico | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Reunion Tour | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eight and Sand | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hereby | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Escape Mission | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiza Brown | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Bruce | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Jet | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Itsalittlebitfunny | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.