Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unwritten Code 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Drizella 2.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Emily Smiles 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Chao Mar 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Big Mama Thornton 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Secret Maneuver 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 June Gloom 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Devoted to You 4.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Lookin for Revenge 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Of Good Report 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 New Eagle 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Active Account 8.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Glenroy 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Soviet Problem S.) – Soviet Problem S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Grazed My Heart 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cast Member 1.60 1.9 4-1
3 3 Cocktail Princess 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Big Celebration 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Loyal to a Fault 4.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Miss Commander 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Hot Thoughts 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Thirsty Date 5.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Magic Capital 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Rosie Ann Rules 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Dance Kid 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Girl Named Doris 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Turquoise Bikini 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Missed Call 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Baladi 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Dutch Bus 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Pioneering Papa 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Edinburgh Express 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Commander Carl 3.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Kimmer 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dadstar 1.20 1 2-1
4 4 Curly Esa 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Missing Maurice 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Norwester 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Mongolian Moon 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Valiente 5.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Papa Primitivo 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Clubhouse Cat 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Truth Prevails 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Liberalism 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Blue Butterfly 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Ardtrea 5.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Measureofdevotion 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Hillstone Martini 3.50 6.6 13-1
1 1 Warren’s Memorable 8.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Aunt Opal 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Let’s Rejoyce 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sunrise Journey 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Octopus 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Mister Bold 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Manitowish 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 All Eyes West 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Self Taught 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Heartfullofstars 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bochombo 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Saffa’s Day 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Neptune’s Storm 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 My Summer Dream 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Grazen Sun 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Code Duello 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Betito 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Krahenbuhl 3.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Golden Image 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.