Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Blow Sum Smoke 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Guest in My Heart 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Miss Rita 20.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Sweetness To 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Half Scout 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 She’s Hamazing 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Miss Dutton 12.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Navagationalbeacon 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Big On Broadway 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Drag Malibu 2.00 1 2-1
1A 8 Joe Bill 2.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Calipari 8.00 4 7-1
2 1 Cunning 1.80 4.2 8-1
3 2 Pikachu 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Shotgun Up 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tequila Revolution 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 9 Strickland 20.00 7.5 14-1
4 3 Castleberry 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 10 Classic Shine 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tizhotndusty 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Runway Magic 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ego 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Principe Guilherme 20.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Can’t Hush This 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Soaring Bird 12.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Mystery Mo 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Time Andbeyond 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Campisi 8.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Lobo Irish 30.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Rudiano 20.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Ridgepoint Road 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Lake Hamilton 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Bradford 8.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Finishwhatustarted 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Seeking Chrome 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Westheimer Street 2.50 7.5 14-1
10 10 Elmo’s Secret 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twitty City 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Hellorhighwater 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Smokin Boots 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Celerity 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Gold Buckle 4.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Guard 5.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Lookin High 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Zoffa 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Atkins 1.80 1 2-1
12 12 G T Five Hundred 20.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 El Mongo 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Runnin’ Block 10.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Uptown Social 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Talk to Tokey 30.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Santino’s Fantasy 30.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Floor It 30.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Yacht Rock (IRE) 2.50 5.9 11-1
9 9 Malorie’s Big Boy 12.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Storm Approaching 15.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 The Steelman 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Flyin Bessie 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 D’oro Street 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Mor Happy Hours 30.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Klassy Bridgette 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Stellar Lily 15.00 2.5 5-1
12 12 Roman Goddess 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Unstable Princess 30.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Sweet Shugs 30.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Pate 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Unified Gurl 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Army Kitten 4.50 7.5 14-1
3 3 Thorn Crown 30.00 8.4 16-1
13 13 Collected Glory 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Midsummer Soiree 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Zoomer 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Alejandro 10.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Keystone Field 1.40 3.4 6-1
1 1 Search Engine 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Mowins 30.00 4 8-1
7 7 My Sixth Sense 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Leblon 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Major General 15.00 7.7 14-1
4 4 Tiz Rye Time 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Albizu 3.50 1 2-1
13 13 Chipofftheoldblock 20.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 No Shirt No Shoes 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Spankster 10.00 3 6-1
10 10 Fore Left 15.00 3 6-1
9 9 Edge to Edge 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Cairama 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mojo Man 20.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 League of Legends 30.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Air Combat 2.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Deflater 30.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Lykan 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Robo Man 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gar Hole 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.