Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Green Amazon 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Arnie P 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Grand Ambition 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Wild Conversation 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Taste My Candy 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Morstachy’s 2.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Beyond Talented 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Seattle Down Under 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Baysville 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Spanish Prince 6.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Mia and Me 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Settebello 15.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Fire Emoji 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Ngabe 20.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 I Live by Faith 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Infinitely Katz 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Bold Reload 10.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Quick Reload 20.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Striking Society 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lapochka 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Ron’s Gizmo 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Last American Exit 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Epilogue 10.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Hyperfocus 8.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Uncle Bull 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Decimator 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Silver Dahlia 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Lois Len 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 A Maize Zing Dotie 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Henry’s Gamble 5.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Old Secrets 10.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Oheavens 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Loaded Question 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Systematic 10.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Winyah Bay 6.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Lincolnville Beach 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Simple Souvenir 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Ransom 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Defogger 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Mia’s Lil Angel 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Seattle Appeal 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 It’s a Fluke 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Souped Up 3.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Preetzah’s Star 20.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 First Round 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 River of Babylon 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sammy Stone 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Coherence 12.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Uncaptured Moment 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Lookinassah 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Twixter 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 War in Charge 3.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Midnight in Malibu 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Proud Ronin 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Hey Cue 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Goodluckmate 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Restoring Order 20.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Lanigan 10.00 7.4 14-1
14 14 Midnight Moonshine 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Maclin 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Aim for the Sky 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Giant Teddy 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Souper Classy 8.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Poseidon Steel 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Rockstar Ro 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Long Pond 10.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Stylish Gent 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Point to the Stars 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 Hidden Honor 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sovereign Cause 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dixie’s Flatter 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Forittable 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Star Scholar 2.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Killary 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Hardware Gap 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Snookered 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 He’s Fully Loaded 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Niteinshiningarmor 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Steady Growth S.) – Steady Growth S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Artie’s Storm 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dun Drum 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Grandson 10.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Avoman 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Candy Overload 1.60 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lac Macaza 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Full Extreme 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Benlion 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Lord of War 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Gaston 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Embrace My Uncle 12.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Gospel Way 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Royal Spirit 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Souper Cohiba 15.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Desolator 20.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Reliability 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Sunrise Drive 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Bet N Win 20.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 October Frost 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Bringer of Rain 20.00 6.3 12-1
12 12 Selfmade 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Sandy Bay 8.00 8.7 16-1
15 15 Society Joe 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spite Store 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Swot Analysis 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Ready for a Fight 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Cash Dividend 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Clear Destination 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Entry to Heaven 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Lucky Curlin 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Have a Souper Day 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Souper Watson 4.00 6 11-1
11 11 Seventyseven Stone 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Win d’Oro 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Be Like Clint 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sugar Ray 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Twenty Four Mamba 2.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Nonno’s Little Boy 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Midway Mischief 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Tempo Madness 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Justin’s Way 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Cure in Reach 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 C C’s Kingdom 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Stolen Money 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Where Is Essa 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Magnificent Mario 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Beau Guest 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Mr. De 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Take Charge Sousi 2.50 6.1 12-1
1 1 Colonel Mustard 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Ignite the Storm 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Managed Forest 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Zakhari 20.00 9.9 19-1
7 7 Flatter Collection 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rocket Joe Copper 12.00 1 2-1
14 14 Veloce 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Taradar 20.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Native Prince 20.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Coleyville 12.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Jegos Fire 12.00 4 7-1
2 2 First Spring 20.00 4.2 8-1
13 13 Wicked Miah 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Lil’s Turn 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 One Punch Charlie 20.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Glovanna 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Bet 4.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Stop the Humbug 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Teacher’s Pet 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.