Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Freedomfi 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Meditate 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Chaosmos 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 October Surprise 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Its a City Day 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Bassett 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Waypoint 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bold Minister 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Customize My Quest 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Rubiginous 2.50 2.9 6-1
6 6 Broad Decision 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sweet Rachel 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Dusty Boy 6.00 4 8-1
9 9 Grand Prado 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Prairie Squall 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Caeus in Pasadena 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 R T’s Iron Man 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 You Your Daddy Son 4.50 1.1 2-1
6 6 Shankinstine 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 K V Target 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Play Master 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Kat’s Soldier 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Custom Dancer 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 6 Philly Wins 1.80 1 2-1
4 2 Dianna’s Jet 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 3 Love to Learn 4.50 2.9 5-1
1A 7 Ginny B 4.50 4 8-1
2B 8 A Wish for Madelyn 1.80 4.5 8-1
7 9 Miss Billie K 6.00 7 13-1
5 4 Country Dream 10.00 7.4 14-1
6 5 Be a Bandit 8.00 7.9 15-1
3 1 Pretty Production 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Golden Passage 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Powershot 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Midnight Nightmare 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Dealmeinbud 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Conga Boy 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Spheroid 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Friendofthecourt 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 My Boy Gus 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Hip Four O Four 15.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Bodee Bodee 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Atomic Rose 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Boston Belle 10.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Chaos Magic 4.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Fort Pike 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 La Danta 5.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Inpending Breeze 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Pepper Point 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Race Day Mae 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sara Mia 1.40 1 2-1
4 3 O’Babe 5.00 1.3 2-1
2 1 Jackies Irishdream 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 8 Sweet Laura 8.00 3.8 7-1
1A 7 Mission Belle 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Life of Saturdays 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Viva El Capitan 8.00 SCRATCH
1 4 Hot Tub Hottie 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rithm Nic 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Bisping 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Scatamaran 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Double Edge Sword 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 I’m a Cowboy 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Flashy Boy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Caribe Nights 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Henning 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Nasty Exaggerator 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Optimistic 3.00 4 8-1
8 8 G’s Storm 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Oso Negro 10.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Big Boss Man 6.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Heather’s Request 12.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Pat Me Down 12.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Miss Jenny’s Halo 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Oxxon 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 General Eisenhower 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.